- #1
k_squared
- 64
- 0
I took statistics in university about two years ago, but I'm rusty. I was trying to write a zero player game - except sometimes, the player can control one of the characters, and I needed to be able to compute these probabilities. That said, I almost put this in homework help, but it is not homework. Haven't been to school in years (you can see when I last posted there.) It took me a while to come up with this, it's basically everything I think I need to know to run the simulation.
I'd be just as happy if you give me somewhere I can look this up than a direct answer.
Let's say we are going to a trip to some ancient ruins. 90% of trips will be safe, but 10% of trips will have someone be chased by an angry mummy. If the trips are all two weeks, I can do x14=9/10 to find the chances of NOT being chased by a mummy; on any given day then 1−x is the actual probability in a day that you will trip an ancient curse.
What I think I'm asking, though, is how to "superimpose" bell curves. I'm not sure if that is the proper wording for this operation, though.
Let's now say that:
1.) The average trip is two weeks.
2.) 90% of trips will end within two days of two weeks (can I use that to find σ?)
How do you compute the chances of the trip ending on any given day?
3a.) 40% of the trips end on a Saturday. On the other days of the week, the chances are 10% that the trip will end. OR:
3b.) The most common time of the trips to go home at Saturday at 1:00 p.m., with a standard deviation of 30 hours.
Now how do you compute the chances of the trip ending on any given day?
4.) We still know from the first sentence that in 10% of the trips someone will wind up being chased by a mummy.
What are the chances given the numbered conditions above, on any give day, that someone winds up being chased by a mummy?
I think these scenarios cover all the types of computations I need to do, but I'm not sure if we covered all of these in class or not.
I'd be just as happy if you give me somewhere I can look this up than a direct answer.
Let's say we are going to a trip to some ancient ruins. 90% of trips will be safe, but 10% of trips will have someone be chased by an angry mummy. If the trips are all two weeks, I can do x14=9/10 to find the chances of NOT being chased by a mummy; on any given day then 1−x is the actual probability in a day that you will trip an ancient curse.
What I think I'm asking, though, is how to "superimpose" bell curves. I'm not sure if that is the proper wording for this operation, though.
Let's now say that:
1.) The average trip is two weeks.
2.) 90% of trips will end within two days of two weeks (can I use that to find σ?)
How do you compute the chances of the trip ending on any given day?
3a.) 40% of the trips end on a Saturday. On the other days of the week, the chances are 10% that the trip will end. OR:
3b.) The most common time of the trips to go home at Saturday at 1:00 p.m., with a standard deviation of 30 hours.
Now how do you compute the chances of the trip ending on any given day?
4.) We still know from the first sentence that in 10% of the trips someone will wind up being chased by a mummy.
What are the chances given the numbered conditions above, on any give day, that someone winds up being chased by a mummy?
I think these scenarios cover all the types of computations I need to do, but I'm not sure if we covered all of these in class or not.