Winning and losing distributions

In summary, the conversation is discussing how to calculate the probability of losing a certain amount at a casino, using a normal distribution function. The given information is that the patrons' win rate at the casino follows a normal distribution with a mean of -0.25 and a standard deviation of 0.3. The question asks to convert the win/loss amounts to a decimal fraction and find the probability of losing a certain amount. The conversation also mentions finding the probability of winning a certain amount and then taking the opposite sign to get the probability of losing that amount.
  • #1
kfulton
6
0
Homework Statement
Given the following information about the patrons' win rate at the casino, determine the ensuing probabilities.
Relevant Equations
Normal distribution on Calculator = Normalcdf
I started by trying to write a normal distribution function for losing and not sure if that is possible.
Screenshot 2021-11-03 112815.png
 
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  • #2
Would the losing distribution be (-97.5%,70%)?
 
  • #3
kfulton said:
Homework Statement:: Given the following information about the patrons' win rate at the casino, determine the ensuing probabilities.
Relevant Equations:: Normal distribution on Calculator = Normalcdf

I started by trying to write a normal distribution function for losing and not sure if that is possible.
View attachment 291684

Part oif the question appears to be missing. What probabilities is it asking you to calculate?

"Losing" menas winning less than $0.
 
  • #4
pasmith said:
Part oif the question appears to be missing. What probabilities is it asking you to calculate?

"Losing" menas winning less than $0.
Here is the rest of the problem, but not sure where the percentages of the winning came from to even think about the losing.
Screenshot 2021-11-03 130748.png
 
  • #5
The amount won is distributed as stated in the question: N(-0.25, 0.3). This is expressed as a fraction of the amount staked, which is why the question says to convert the win/loss amounts to a decimal fraction.
 
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  • #6
I understand that part, but for part 1, won't I need the losing distribution? If not do I get do 700/1000 - 2.5 divided by 30 and figure out the percent lower than that for the answer?
 
  • #7
The probability of losing $x is the probability of winning -$x.
 
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  • #8
That makes sense. So you part 1 I will find the probability of winning 700 and then my answer will be the opposite sign of what I get out?
 
  • #9
I think it might help to just start by rephrasing the distribution. The patrons winnings are a normal distribution center at how many dollars, and with how many dollars standard deviation?
 
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1. What are winning and losing distributions?

Winning and losing distributions refer to the pattern or spread of outcomes in a series of events or trials. In other words, it is a way of representing the frequency of wins and losses in a particular situation or game.

2. How are winning and losing distributions calculated?

Winning and losing distributions are typically calculated by recording the outcomes of multiple trials and then graphing the frequency of each outcome. This can be done using a bar graph, histogram, or other visual representation.

3. What can winning and losing distributions tell us?

Winning and losing distributions can provide valuable insights into the likelihood of certain outcomes and the overall performance of a system or strategy. They can also help identify patterns or trends that may be useful for making predictions or adjustments.

4. How do winning and losing distributions relate to probability?

Winning and losing distributions are closely related to probability, as they both involve the likelihood of certain outcomes. In fact, winning and losing distributions can be used to calculate probabilities and vice versa.

5. Can winning and losing distributions be used to improve performance?

Yes, winning and losing distributions can be used to identify areas for improvement and inform decision-making in order to increase the chances of winning. By analyzing the distribution of outcomes, strategies can be adjusted to optimize performance and increase the likelihood of success.

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