tom.stoer said:
...
The problem of falsifiability (in practice, not in principle - we discussed this difference) is not specific for string theory but applies to all theories including quantum gravity. Therefore either you accept this paradigm shift (that your guidelines are more mathematical then experimental) or you have to stop doing physics at all...
Lt_Dax said:
... I've been trying to develop a more mature viewpoint, so this thread has been useful to read (if not in its entirety).
Tom, I don't think this is as fairly balanced as many of your posts, so I will suggest a different viewpoint on testing. Loop has become a coherent theory of quantum gravity (QG) which stands to be falsified by observation of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) by proposed next generation missions such as B-Pol.
There are certainly details of the combined theory (canonical+path integral+cosmology) that still have to be worked out. But there has been a remarkable convergence and the prediction of a cosmic bounce is robust. Repeatedly, under varying assumptions, Loop applied to cosmology replaces the singularity with a bounce and a natural inflation episode.
This has consequences for practical B-mode polarization maps of the CMB. The B-Pol mission has been proposed for the 2015-2025 timeframe. If it gets funded (a big "if") it could effectively falsify Loop.
So that QG theory predicts new phenomena and bets its life on the prediction. This is the customary behavior of scientific theories that we expect since Bacon set out the empirical philosophy 400 years ago.
It's not granted yet that we discard the Baconian paradigm or "stop doing physics".
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A Loop-related conjecture by Smolin that had stood since 1993 was falsified this year by the discovery of a neutron star with mass > 1.9 solar. Smolin had conjectured that the parameters of the standard particle model were at a local optimum for black hole production and had derived from this the prediction that no neutron star would be seen with mass > 1.6 solar. This conjecture was not a prediction of QG theory, but it assumed that classic black hole singularities were replaced by bounces. That is still possible, but the optimality conjecture has been falsified.
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QG theory itself, and QG-related conjectures, can be tested.
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A relevant philosophical point is that fundamental physical theory is inferential. As Bohr told us, physics is not about how nature "is". It is about how it responds to measurement. What we can detect, measure, infer, and check by further measurement.
As Newton said "Hypotheses non fingo". We do not pretend that little wiggling strings exist. Or that spin networks exist--with nodes of quantum volume and links of quantum area--flickering into and out of existence. Or that little triangles of quantum triangulation exist. So theory-testing does not require a big "magnifying glass" to see these human imaginings.
There is no fundamental ontology.
These imagined things represent nothing but ways of calculating and relating measurements to other measurements.
Theories can be roughly graded according to how fundamental since from a deeper theory one can sometimes derive a more coarse-grain theory.
So in order to test comparatively fundamental theories such as Loop (I think everybody here realizes) instead of building an impossibly powerful "magnifying glass" what one needs to do is use the theory to predict new phenomena (which distinguish one theory from another) and look for the phenomena.
A theory must be predictive about the universe we actually live in, including the ancient light which we observe, or it is useless. And so it must be possible to test.
Apart from that, it can be as mathematical as anyone could wish

there is no contradiction between empirical testing and mathematical elegance as guides.
That's my contribution to help balance the view you expressed. Hope it does not repeat too much from the previous 400 posts of this great thread!
===some references===
B-Pol mission proposal:
http://www.b-pol.org/index.php
Bee Hossenfelder's post:
http://www.math.columbia.edu/~woit/wordpress/?p=3262&cpage=1#comment-67988
Recent paper by Julien Grain et al:
http://arxiv.org/abs/1011.1811
Observing the Big Bounce with Tensor Modes in the Cosmic Microwave Background: Phenomenology and Fundamental LQC Parameters
Julien Grain, A. Barrau, T. Cailleteau, J. Mielczarek
12 pages, 5 figures
(Submitted on 8 Nov 2010)
“Cosmological models where the standard Big Bang is replaced by a bounce have been studied for decades. The situation has however dramatically changed in the last years for two reasons. First, because new ways to probe the early Universe have emerged, in particular thanks to the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB). Second, because some well grounded theories — especially Loop Quantum Cosmology — unambiguously predict a bounce, at least for homogeneous models. In this article, we investigate into the details the phenomenological parameters that could be constrained or measured by next-generation B-mode CMB experiments. We point out that an important observational window could be opened. We then show that those constraints can be converted into very meaningful limits on the fundamental Loop Quantum Cosmology (LQC) parameters. This establishes the early universe as an invaluable quantum gravity laboratory.”