Quim said:
Which once again points out how unfortunate it is that we are lacking a poster knowledgeable of the subject of geology.
It simply can't be true that the underground rock formations, water tables and streams at the Fukushima site are an unknown.
Somebody did the engineering for that dam.
Well, I happen to be a geologist, specialized in soil and groundwater contamination. I am sure that the geology and geohydrology of the site are known, in order to be able to design the foundations of the plant and in order to design the groundwater withdrawal system, necessary to keep the basements of the plant dry (I understood that such a system exists).
I have added a simple sketch of what seems to me the most likely situation of the Fukushima plant. I assume the following, based on what I see at Google Earth:
- the plant has been built on a platform, partly excavated into the slope and partly situated on a layer of rubble, bulldozed into the sea.
- the general direction of ground water flow is perpendicular towards the sea;
- at the foot of the slope there is probably some kind of drainage ditch which collects both surface runoff and ground water coming from higher grounds;
- the whole platform is probably paved with concrete of asphalt and provided with a rainwater drainage system;
- the rain water and ground water collected in the drainage ditch and the drainage system is led into the sea.
Based on the above:
- contaminated surface runoff will probably be directly discharged into the sea unless this water is intercepted and collected somewhere (which is not the case afaik);
- contaminated surface runoff may leak into the ground in case of damaged pavements and/or drainage pipes;
- contaminated water in the reactor buildings may leak into the ground in case of damaged walls/floors/underground pipes, etc.
The time it takes for the contaminated ground water to reach the sea depends on the permeability of the ground (which may consist of bedrock, rubble and possible also weathered bedrock (soil)), on the slope of the groundwater table towards the sea and on the chemical behavior of the radioactive substances.
Hope this helps.