Vanadium 50 said:
If you don't mind, PM me with the name if your school; I might want to chat with some faculty I know about this.
Should talk to the National Science Foundation
http://www.nsf.gov/nsb/documents/2003/nsb0369/nsb0369.pdf
The names of the people involved are on page iii
Quoting: The Federal Government and its agencies must step forward to ensure the adequacy of the US science and engineering workforce. All stakeholders must mobilize and initiate efforts that increase the number of US citizens pursuing science and engineering studies and careers.
Read page 21...
----
Although there has been considerable debate over the last decade about the overproduction of PhD scientists and engineers in certain fields, it is beyond dispute that society is – and will become even more – dependent on science and technology. Future progress and world leadership depend on a steady stream of scientific discoveries and developments that, in turn, depend on a cadre of individuals with a high level of scientific training and education.
(...)
A number of factors will contribute to growth in the need for US personnel with advanced S&E degrees in the next few decades. These factors include accelerating retirements,41 greater competition internationally for S&E talent, and national security concerns that may both affect access and attraction of foreign students and scholars to the United States and raise the demand for US citizens in national security-related areas.
---------
Also see...
http://www.aip.org/enews/fyi/2002/095.html
We can go back to the 1990's for more of this non-sense.
One HUGE problem with these sorts of studies is that no one on the board seems to be a post-doc.
In any event, the myth of a scientist shortage isn't this "rogue myth", it's something systemic that involves the NSF and AIP.
Finally, did you really think a system where a professor cranks out 10 students, who each get jobs cranking out 10 students, and so on was sustainable?
No, but if you asked the faculty about it you get two answers:
1) that there would be a large number of openings once the Sputnik generation retires, and
2) the market is tough, but good people can get jobs. Since you are talking to people that have been consistently at the top 10% of what they have been doing since kindergarten, this gets taken the wrong way.
We weren't advised that this was a possibility, but my class would have laughed at any professor that tried to tell us that. In my cohort, the expectation was that we would go on to industry.
My reaction to a lot of what I was told was "this is bull****" but I think I'm a bit more cynical than the average Ph.D. student. Even I was surprised that the shortage started in 1970. Until a few years ago, I assumed that it started in 1985.
"It's like finding your grandmother stealing your stereo. You're happy to get your stereo back, but it's sad to find out your grandmother is a thief." -- Michael Nesmith