maxverywell said:
Please explain why it's nonsense...
From the point of view of an external observer, the collapsing/infalling matter never crosses the event horizon because of the infinite time dilation at the horizon. So for the outside observers the star never collapses completely and BH isn't formed.
What is more interesting is that the outside observer will detect Hawking radiation from the BH and the BH will eventually evaporate, before it was created!
First, Hawking radiation is purely a quantum effect, so leave that out altogether, classically. With Hawking radiation (and other quantum issues, e.g. information paradox, unitarity, etc.) the question of horizons and their formation has been hotly debated for many years.
Classically, there is no Hawking radiation, and the statement 'for the outside observer it never forms' is a physically meaningless statement because it is true only for certain coordinate choices or simultaneity conventions. For different simultaneity conventions, one can give a precise statement to 'when' a horizon formed. Two physically meaningful statements about classical collapse are:
1) Someone on the surface of the collapsing body crosses the horizon in finite time [per their watch, for example], continues to receive information from the outside for finite time after horizon formation and reaches singularity in finite time. Further, if such an observer is watching the outside, there is last time they would see on some distant clock. Finally, note that if you require matter to locally behave consistently with classical SR requirements (dominant energy condition) then collapse with horizon formation + singularity are required under a broad range of conditions.
2) Someone outside would
see the collapsing body red shift to relatively quickly to a state blacker than CMB. Further, the result would quickly be distinguishable even from a black body of matter 1 angstrom larger than the horizon. That is, a star, that for an observer
riding the star, remains just short of ultimate collapse, remains distinguishable, externally, from a star that catastrophically collapsed (per an infalling observer).
As I noted, the authors of these new papers not only don't dispute the above, they discuss precisely where their quantum analysis predicts the behavior will diverge significantly from the classical picture.