It"s important to begin from a good foundation, so I hope you don't mind that I won't ask you to 'cite' where this is stated.

Also, it would be presumptuous to suggest that the two scenarios you describe could occur from "a fluctuation", as in "just ONE flip of a coin".
What you may recall reading or hearing - one of the counter-intuitive aspects of quantum mechanics - is that at the microscopic, quantum level, particles can do things and go places that don't make sense or behave according to anything (and everything) you've experienced.
The significant point I want to convey is that QM does indeed include probabilities of events occurring at the QUANTUM level that would amaze you. BUT, the probability of the things that would be amazing can be very, very small at the microscopic/quantum level, and almost zilch if you want billions of improbabilities to happen, "just so".
This is a question you do need to clarify to make it proper. Which laws of physics? Classical or quantum or,...?
In any event, the odds of you being proven wrong are in the same league with a brain appearing in outer space. It doesn't mean neither can or cannot happen.
What if I told you it was impossible for you to win a lottery? On one hand you might agree, on the other hand you know it may be improbable, but not impossible.
So then, a brain appearing in space? Hmmm... Could you win every lottery, every day, for the rest of your life? That's kind of a similar thing. The significance is not to expect so many improbable things to occur that you could see miracles occur at the macroscopic level. Just keep an open mind when you jump into the pool if you'd like to enjoy understanding QM more.