Can You Outpredict Paul the Octopus in the 2014 PF World Cup League?

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Discussion Overview

The thread discusses predictions for the outcomes of matches in the 2014 World Cup, inviting participants to compare their forecasting abilities against Paul the Octopus. The scope includes voting on overall winners, runner-ups, and individual match outcomes, with a focus on points awarded for correct predictions.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Exploratory

Main Points Raised

  • Participants are encouraged to predict the winner and runner-up of the World Cup, with various individuals suggesting different teams such as Spain, Brazil, Germany, and Argentina.
  • Voting on individual match outcomes is also proposed, with points awarded for correct results and scores, leading to a variety of predictions for specific matches.
  • Some participants express confidence in their predictions, while others offer differing views on match outcomes, indicating a range of opinions on team performances.
  • Specific match predictions are shared, with participants providing their expected scores for various games, showcasing a diversity of forecasting strategies.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

There is no consensus on which team will win the World Cup, as multiple competing views are presented. Participants have differing predictions for individual matches as well.

Contextual Notes

Participants' predictions depend on personal assessments of team strengths and weaknesses, and the discussion reflects a variety of assumptions about match outcomes without resolving these uncertainties.

  • #121
micromass said:
Important notice!
We have had a lot of predictions made after the deadline. I have ignored the situation until now, but it's a bit unfair towards the people who make their predictions tomorrow. Since I am posting so short before the deadline (5 hours), I will let tomorrow's matches pass too. But after that, I expect the predictions on time (i.e. before midnight GMT). Any posts after the deadline, even 1 minute, will not be accepted


Is the deadline not the time the first game kicks off? I must have missed that. (I generally don't think about the games until the morning of)
 
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  • #122
Italy - Costa Rica (20 June): 2 - 0

Switzerland - France (20 June): 1 - 2

Honduras - Ecuador (20 June): 1 - 1

Argentina - Iran (21 June): 2 - 0

Germany - Ghana (21 June): 3 - 0

Nigeria - Bosnia and Herzegovina (21 June): 0 - 2

Belgium - Russia (22 June): 1 - 0

Korea Republic - Algeria (22 June): 1 - 0

USA - Portugal (22 June): 1 - 2
 
  • #123
Italy v Costa Rica: 3 - 1
Switzerland v France: 1 - 3
Honduras v Ecuador: 0 - 4
 
  • #124
20th June:
Italy - Costa Rica: 2 - 1
Switzerland - France: 1 - 2
Honduras - Ecuador: 1 - 2

I will be posting my 21th June prediction later today.
 
  • #125
20th June:

Italy - Costa Rica: 2 - 1
Switzerland - France: 1 - 2
Honduras - Ecuador: 0 - 2
 
Last edited:
  • #126
When are the deadlines for predictions?

20th June:
Italy - Costa Rica: 2 - 0
Switzerland - France: 1 - 3
Honduras - Ecuador: 0 - 0

Overall winner: Argentina. I think Messi is bound to win a world cup one of these days...might as well be this year.
 
  • #128
So I missed that last deadline? =[
 
  • #129
Matterwave said:
So I missed that last deadline? =[

No, since I said the deadlines start counting from today. So the last deadline was not important.
 
  • #130
21 June:
Argentina - Iran: 3 - 0
Germany - Ghana: 3 - 0
Nigeria - Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1 - 0

22 June:
Belgium - Russia: 2 - 0
Korea Republic - Algeria: 1 - 0
USA - Portugal: 2 - 1
 
  • #131
(almost like micromass, but not quite :smile:)

21 June:
Argentina - Iran: 3 - 0
Germany - Ghana: 4 - 0
Nigeria - Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1 - 2

22 June:
Belgium - Russia: 2 - 0
Korea Republic - Algeria: 1 - 2
USA - Portugal: 2 - 1
 
  • #132
For June 21:

Argentina v Iran: 3-0
Germany v Ghana: 2-1
Nigeria v Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1-2
 
  • #133
21 June:
Argentina - Iran: 3 - 0
Germany - Ghana: 3 - 1
Nigeria - Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1 - 1
 
  • #134
Argentina v Iran: 4-0
Germany v Ghana: 2-1
Nigeria v Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2-3
 
  • #135
21 June:
Argentina - Iran: 4 - 0
Germany - Ghana: 2 - 0
Nigeria - Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1 - 1

22 June:
Belgium - Russia: 1 - 2
Korea Republic - Algeria: 2 - 1
USA - Portugal: 0 - 0
 
  • #136
21 June:

Argentina - Iran: 3 - 1
Germany - Ghana: 5 - 0
Nigeria - Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1 - 2
 
  • #137
22 June:
Belgium - Russia: 2 - 1
Korea Republic - Algeria: 2 - 1
USA - Portugal: 2 - 1
 
  • #138
June 22:

Belgium v Russia: 2 - 0
Korea Republic v Algeria: 2 - 0
USA v Portugal: 1 - 0
 
  • #139
June 22:

Belgium v Russia: 2 - 1
Korea Republic v Algeria: 2 - 1
USA v Portugal: 1 - 2
 
  • #140
Belgium v Russia: 3 - 0
Korea Republic v Algeria: 1 - 0
USA v Portugal: 1 - 2 (sorry)
 
  • #141
23th June:
Netherlands - Chile: 1 - 2
Australia - Spain: 0 - 2
Cameroon - Brazil: 1 - 3
Croatia - Mexico: 0 - 2

24th June:
Italy - Uruguay: 3 - 2
Costa Rica - England: 2 - 0
Japan - Colombia: 0 - 1
Greece - Côte D'Ivoire: 1 - 2
 
  • #142
23th June:
Netherlands - Chile: 3 - 1
Australia - Spain: 0 - 1
Cameroon - Brazil: 0 - 2
Croatia - Mexico: 1 - 2

24th June:
Italy - Uruguay: 0 - 2
Costa Rica - England: 0 - 1
Japan - Colombia: 1 - 1
Greece - Côte D'Ivoire: 2 - 1
 
  • #143
23th June:
Netherlands - Chile: 2 - 3
Australia - Spain: 1 - 2
Cameroon - Brazil: 1 - 3
Croatia - Mexico: 1 - 2

24th June:
Italy - Uruguay: 2 - 1
Costa Rica - England: 2 - 1
Japan - Colombia: 0 - 1
Greece - Côte D'Ivoire: 1 - 2
 
  • #144
I'd like to change my winner prediction from Argentina (posted on 12 June) to Germany (posted now on 22 June).

And some match predictions:

23th June:
Netherlands - Chile: 0 - 1
Australia - Spain: 0 - 2
Cameroon - Brazil: 0 - 3
Croatia - Mexico: 1 - 2

24th June:
Italy - Uruguay: 1 - 2
Costa Rica - England: 0 - 2
Japan - Colombia: 0 - 2
Greece - Côte D'Ivoire: 0 - 2
 
  • #145
23th June

Netherlands - Chile: 4 - 2
Australia - Spain: 2 - 1
Cameroon - Brazil: 0 - 3
Croatia - Mexico: 0 - 0
 
  • #146
montadhar said:
Australia - Spain: 2 - 1
EDIT: It can very well happen, I have to add :biggrin:
 
Last edited:
  • #147
DennisN said:
EDIT: It can very well happen, I have to add :biggrin:

I'm the one who's surprised! Now if Germany wins the world cup, I will get 8 points more than you will (4 if they reach the final), and if Germany doesn't, someone else will get a considerable advantage, and maybe win.
Edit: Perhaps, by changing to Germany, you have spelt your own doom :biggrin:

Edit2: I mean 6 not 8, sorry.
 
  • #148
montadhar said:
I'm the one who's surprised! Now if Germany wins the world cup, I will get 8 points more than you will (4 if they reach the final), and if Germany doesn't, someone else will get a considerable advantage, and maybe win.
Edit: Perhaps, by changing to Germany, you have spelt your own doom :biggrin:

Edit2: I mean 6 not 8, sorry.

Yes, this contest is very fun! And very addictive! :biggrin:
 
  • #149
June 23th:

Netherlands v Chile: 1 - 2
Australia v Spain: 0 - 2
Cameroon v Brazil: 0 - 3
Croatia v Mexico: 0 - 1
 
  • #150
DennisN said:
Yes, this contest is very fun! And very addictive! :biggrin:

Glad you enjoy it! I'm not sure about your switch to Germany, but we'll see how it turns out. :-p
 

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