Canadian mathematicians model zombie attack

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around a mathematical model analyzing a hypothetical zombie outbreak, focusing on the dynamics of infection and potential strategies for containment. It explores the implications of different approaches, such as quarantine and treatment, within the context of a fictional scenario.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Debate/contested
  • Meta-discussion

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants highlight that the model suggests “impulsive eradication” as the only likely successful strategy against a zombie outbreak, requiring frequent and forceful attacks.
  • Others note that if the outbreak is not addressed quickly, it could lead to a doomsday scenario where civilization collapses due to the overwhelming number of zombies.
  • One participant mentions that the model indicates zombies could outnumber the susceptibles in a city of 500,000 within three hours of an outbreak.
  • Some express skepticism about the relevance of the research, labeling it an embarrassment despite acknowledging its instructive nature in mathematical modeling.
  • There are humorous remarks about the potential engagement of students in mathematics through the topic of zombies.
  • One participant mentions the funding sources for the research, indicating public investment in the study.
  • A later reply suggests that the humorous angle of studying zombies is valid and contrasts with more serious academic pursuits.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express a mix of amusement and skepticism regarding the research. While some appreciate the innovative approach to mathematical modeling, others criticize its validity and relevance. There is no consensus on the value of the research, with competing views on its seriousness and implications.

Contextual Notes

The discussion reflects a blend of humor and critique regarding the application of mathematical modeling to fictional scenarios, highlighting the challenges of engaging with unconventional topics in academia.

Who May Find This Useful

Readers interested in mathematical modeling, unconventional applications of mathematics, or those with a sense of humor about academic research may find this discussion engaging.

fourier jr
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good to know! :-p & it would probably make learning about systems of ODEs much more interesting (or zombie movies much less interesting):

...the model focuses on modern zombies, which are “very different from the voodoo and the folklore zombies.” It takes into account the possibility of quarantine (could lead to eradication, but unlikely to happen) and treatment (some humans survive, but they still must coexist with zombies), but shows that there is only one strategy likely to succeed: “impulsive eradication.”

“Only sufficiently frequent attacks, with increasing force, will result in eradication, assuming the available resources can be mustered in time,” they concluded.

And if we don’t act fast enough?

“If the timescale of the outbreak increases, then the result is the doomsday scenario: an outbreak of zombies will result in the collapse of civilization, with every human infected, or dead,” they wrote. “This is because human births and deaths will provide the undead with a limitless supply of new bodies to infect, resurrect and convert.”

How fast do we need to deal with the outbreak? Here’s the equation they used, where S = susceptibles, Z = zombies and R = removed. If an infection breaks out in a city of 500,000 people, the zombies will outnumber the susceptibles in about three hours.

picture-9.png


Maybe being a mathematician wouldn’t be so bad, after all.
http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2009/08/zombies/

they include the citation but not an actual link to the article, which is on robert smith's U of Ottawa page:
This is, perhaps unsurprisingly, the first mathematical analysis of an outbreak of zombie infection. While the scenarios considered are obviously not realistic, it is nevertheless instructive to develop mathematical models for an unusual outbreak. This demonstrates the flexibility of mathematical modelling and shows how modelling can respond to a wide variety of challenges in ‘biology’.

In summary, a zombie outbreak is likely to lead to the collapse of civilisation, unless it is dealt with quickly. While aggressive quarantine may contain the epidemic, or a cure may lead to coexistence of humans and zombies, the most effective way to contain the rise of the undead is to hit hard and hit often. As seen in the movies, it is imperative that zombies are dealt with quickly, or else we are all in a great deal of trouble.
http://www.mathstat.uottawa.ca/~rsmith/Zombies.pdf
 
Last edited:
Mathematics news on Phys.org
I can picture math teachers everywhere rejoicing that finally their students will pay attention.
 
MITACS actually funded this. :smile:
 
so did nserc. your tax dollars at work!
 
This is, perhaps unsurprisingly, the first mathematical analysis of an outbreak of zombie infection. While the scenarios considered are obviously not realistic, it is nevertheless instructive to develop mathematical models for an unusual outbreak. This demonstrates the flexibility of mathematical modelling and shows how modelling can respond to a wide variety of challenges in ‘biology’.

The world does not need to be convinced in the flexibility of mathematics to be used to solve various problems. This research is an embarrassment.
 
junglebeast said:
This research is an embarrassment.

You say that now, but when they attack...
 
junglebeast said:
The world does not need to be convinced in the flexibility of mathematics to be used to solve various problems. This research is an embarrassment.
Your lack of humor does not justify condemning others who find joy in their work.

You go on studying abstract populations of type S, Z, and R. I'm going to study zombies. :-p
 
Hurkyl said:
I'm going to study zombies. :-p

Scientists are always the first ones to die.


Because viewers hold less empathy to them as, let's say, the hot female protagonist.
 
  • #10
Nice! I just nominated this research for the Ig Nobel prize.
 

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