Drakkith said:
Why would it be too optimistic? It's just one goal on the way to the finish line. It is a given that you must include efficiency of input and output power for a working reactor.
About Lawson criterion and some thought concerning breakeven.
Considering fusion experiments using thermal plasma e.g. Tokamak
Initial “ignition”
Tremendous energy should be spent (pumped) for achievement the required temperature (heating)
Plasma creation (discharge) and Ohmic heating.
• Initially very strong toroidal induction electric field is created
• Pulling out of some electrons from their orbits under the influence of electric field (primary ionization)
• Acceleration of electrons in one direction and ions to opposite. As electrons have much higher rate of acceleration, they gain energy faster transferring then energy to other particles finally ionizing gas and heating plasma. Initially the temperature of electron gas much higher, but then thanks to multiple collisions ions’ and electrons’ temperatures are almost equalized. For occurrence of that equalization some time is needed.
• Occurrence of Bremsstrahlung (energy loss) together with hot plasma conductivity increasing limiting the maximum achievable temperature via Ohmic heating.
RF (cyclotron resonance) heating and its energy losses.
• Efficiency of RF generators?
• Efficiency of absorption of RF radiation by plasma?
Heating via neutrals beams
• By my information only 30% of neutrals can be absorbed by plasma, remaining 70% hit walls
• Efficiency of charged particles accelerators?
• Efficiency of neutralization of those beams in neutralization chambers?
So, can anybody say that Lawson criterion considers all above mentioned?
Criterion written in 50s of past century!
And if/when Lawson criterion will be achieved how far will we be from real capability to produce net power?
As that criterion estimates only certain limit overcoming of which “self-burning” is possible.
But achieving “self-burning” capability we before should spend a lot of energy for providing above mentioned processes (heating, etc.) and also should produce some electricity.
And I am sure that TOKAMAKs as well as other experiments are very far from their purposes.