Geometric Progression Question

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The discussion revolves around calculating the population of Ubris using geometric progression (G.P.) based on data from 1995 and 2000. Participants clarify how to define the variable n for the years in question, emphasizing that n can be set arbitrarily but must be consistent throughout the calculations. The correct approach for determining the population at the end of 2006 and when it will reach 100,000 involves understanding the formula T_n = ar^(n-1) and the implications of choosing n = 0 or n = 1 for the starting year. There is some confusion regarding the value of n for the year 2000, with participants debating whether it should be n = 5 or n = 6. Ultimately, the discussion highlights the flexibility in defining the starting point in G.P. while maintaining the integrity of the calculations.
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Hi. Tried solving, but no idea how.

At the end of 1995, the population of Ubris was 46650 and by the end of 2000 it had risen to 54200. On the assumption that the population at the end of each year form a g.p. find

a) The population at the end of 2006, leaving your answer in 3 s.f.

b) The year in which the population reaches 100000, correct to nearest integer.
 
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This equation will help you

T_n=ar^{n-1}

in 1995 n=0, in 2000 what does n=?

you can solve now
 
but how sure are you that 1995 is the starting year @_@ ?

Well i got the answer correct with that eqn. But can you briefly explain why must i use n = 12 instead of n = 11 for question a ?
 
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You can arbitrarily set the starting year; it will just be a shift. The GP will hold throughout. i.e. a could well be a = br^{k}, where b and k are constants. So the GP is simply just transformed to a higher 'starting point'
 
Thanks
 
You must use n = 12 as at the starting year 1995, n = 1 since its the first term in the G.P. that has been defined.
 
There is nothing wrong with using n= 0 for 1995 and then, if you are using T_n= ar^{n-1} your first equation is ar^{-1}= 46650. Or use n= 1 so you have ar^0= a= 46650. If you are using br^k, taking k= 0 for 1995 gives br^0= b= 46650 and k= 1 br^1= br= 46650. You just get different values of a or b, and r. But where did you get "n= 12"? It is only 5 years from "the end of 1995" to "the end of 2000". If your are taking 1995 to be n= 0, 2000 will be n= 5. If you are taking 1995 to be n= 1, 2000 will be n= 6.
 
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