Derek P said:
Please restrict your answers to criticisms of derivations of the Born Rule that are generally accepted by proponents of MWI. Please provide a verbal description of the issue where possible so that people like myself who are certainly graduate-plus* but rusty as hell have a chance of seeing what the point is.
*plus nearly half a century in my case
So then, in what sense does MWI fail to predict the Born Rule?
In my understanding the Born rule has two parts
1. The square of the amplitude is probability
2. Doing a suitable measurement on a system (applying ##\hat{A}_m##) results in the ##m##th eigenstate of ##\hat{A}_m## with probability ##|\alpha_m|^2##
I think MWI runs into trouble with the second using the original 'naive' splitting protocol.
The problem is that if we follow a particular line of splits for a lot of splits and count, frequencies don't all match the expected ones. For instance for 100 coin tosses.
This can be fixed easily by tinkering with the splitting protocol and introducing a (non-physical) memory ##M## for each instance of our observer.
P is the probability of getting a 1 on each trial of a binary process with outcomes '0' and '1'.
Let the splitting be controlled by the quantity ##M/S## where ##M## is the count of '1' splits and ##S## is the number of splits in the history.
The rule is
if M/S < P split into 1,1
if M/S = P split into 1,0
if M/S > P split into 0,0.
Now the limiting probability estimate M/S → P as required.
But the sequences are not random !
If P=1/2 the sequence becomes alternating 0's and '1's. This non-randomness happens for any value of P.
So, this is not a good solution ( no coconut). I think the reason is that MWI robs QM of doing anything that can give random results because that requires quantum indeterminacy, which is gone.
My feeling is that (even after one attempt to fix this) that one must have indeterminacy to make correct predictions.
[ I may be conflating indeterminacy and non-unitarity. It is the aim of MWI to remain unitary, but it seems that this inevitably loses randomness in some fundamental way]