My hunch is that part of the disagreement is simply misunderstandings.
One of the problems here is that its hard to describe this in words, and that problem is indeed mine! as i am the one trying to convey some strange multilayer thinking, and indeed its easliy misunderstood. (And at this point I have no published work on this - I wish i had! But the ambition is that it will come, but i decided long time ago that i would not even consider publishing something that is immature enough to be misunderstood, this is why at minimum i would like to have explicit results before anyone would care to read it. I do not have the problem of having to publish papers continously, so i will publish if an only if its up to my own standards.)
But there is plenty of disuss still as there are a lot of research by others that fringes upon this from different angles. But its not the inconstencies between these ideas we should focus on but on the abstractions that are the common denominator.
Dr. Courtney said:
Aah, I see. You want a method to discern which hypotheses are most worthy of being tested.
Thats part of the story yes. But WHY do i want to do this? this is the question!
It is not because i want to change research politics, it is because i see a much deeper point here. It is the key to explanatory power of internal interactions. But we can apply this to difference scales of complexity, i see this as an illustration, but it can easily be mixed up.
Note that sometimes we talk about inferences on human scientist level or social interaction level, and soemtimes at least I talk about inferences on physical (subatomic) level. sometimes on intermediate complex system level, ie. complex physical systems, but no humans.
I see now that this is confusing. But my ambition here is to highlight that we can find a scale invariant soft constructing principle here, that also is a source of intuition and insight. There is a common abstraction is the SAME in all cases. And if you see this as inferences, the inferences are the same regardless of underlying system, and its subject to the same evolutionary and self-organising mechanisms.
Dr. Courtney said:
I doubt the possibility of constructing a truly objective method of picking more likely candidates for winning hypotheses prior to testing them.
I fully agree. My point was not to find an OBJECTIVE explicit method. Objectivity is emergent only. I even claim the opposite, that an objective method is not inferrable and therefore has no place in the arguments.
Dr. Courtney said:
But the low hanging fruit to one experimenter may not be low hanging fruit to another.
Now we talk about human scientist level:
This is exactly my point! No real disagreements here! What is the important and rational action is that each reserachers will typically act according to this emergent constraint. The constraints is simply the betting rule. If the cost for reaching high hanging fruit exceeds the probable benefit, then going for the low hanging fruit is the rational choice.
And this - from another point of view - EXPLAINS why a particular researchers acts irrational from antoher perspective. In the rational player model, there exists no objective measure. Instead each player has its own measure, and the INTERACTION between them is what causes objective consensus.
Now I switch to talking about physical leve inferences:
See what I am getting at? The subjectively emergent constraints, encoded in a subsystem, has the potential (i say potential here just to be humble;) to EXPLAINS the exact nature of interactions, as seen from an external observer!
Example, to get back to HEP. The external observers is the classical laboratory with a bunch of scientists with no hair ;) The subsystems are subatomic entities "interacting". Thus for the laboratory observer to "understand/explain/infer" the interactions (read standard model) he needs to probe the system by perturbing it by prepared say "test observers" and see they interact. From the interactions mechanism are inferred. But to connect back to OT - i suggeste that taking the instrumentallist approach to its extreme, and attaching it to an arbitrary part of the universe and not JUST humans - we see an amazing possibility to understand unification at a deeper level. This also adresses many things such as emergence of intertia and mass. As in the inferntial perspective "stability" must be explains by intertia of underlying structures, this is also why the randomness are modulated by intertia, and why mutations that are NECESSARY for developemtn, does NOT destabilise the process.
To just reply to one more expected objection: So do i thinkn atoms compute probabilities and choose their actions consiously? NO. computations are just random permutations in its own internal structure, but the key is to understand the structure in such as way that we can see that it is in fact a very rational and clever betting devices. All this also suggests that calculuts needs to be scaled down to these computuers. I have not completed this thinking yet but i think the elementa here must be cosntructed from distunguishalbe states and that will become a discrete space. So the continuum models have no place in here, for this reason there will also be no divergenes. I always felt that in terms of information, the continuum embedding is confusing. Continuum physics will have to be explained as a large complexity limit. So in a way time evolutin is like a random computation process that self-organises, and i na way that there exists no immutable external view.
Do you see the vision? and the essence of my "interpretation"
If not, i think it have said more than enough already. I also learn how differentl we all think, which is a good thing, but this is yet another arugment against premature publications. As a reasoning gets complicated enough, its very hard for anyone to follow, this is why only the results matters. Only once the result is clear, interest for how and why will come. This is also natural, i work the same way. This is why i am moderatly interested in string theory for example.
/Fredrik