Is Donald Trump Really Considering a Presidential Run in 2012?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the potential for Donald Trump to run for president in 2012, exploring various opinions on his viability as a candidate, the implications of his business background, and the current political climate. Participants engage in a mix of speculation, critique, and analysis regarding the political landscape and Trump's influence within it.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Exploratory
  • Conceptual clarification

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants assert that Trump is seriously considering a run and could be a formidable candidate if he does.
  • Others challenge the relevance of Trump's business background, questioning how it would address the issues facing the financial sector and government.
  • A few participants predict that the current president may lose reelection if trends continue, suggesting that Trump could capitalize on this vulnerability.
  • Some express skepticism about the seriousness of Trump's candidacy, with one participant quoting an American to emphasize disbelief.
  • There are discussions about the implications of Trump's previous bankruptcies and how they might affect public perception of his candidacy.
  • Several participants highlight the precedent of electing non-traditional candidates, such as actors, and speculate on Trump's potential appeal based on his outsider status.
  • Concerns are raised about the electorate's reluctance to elect a Republican president alongside a Republican House, complicating Trump's potential candidacy.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express a range of opinions, with no clear consensus on Trump's potential candidacy or its implications. Some view him as a serious contender, while others are skeptical about his qualifications and the likelihood of his success.

Contextual Notes

Participants reference various political dynamics and historical precedents without reaching a definitive conclusion about Trump's candidacy or the political landscape's future. The discussion includes multiple viewpoints on the impact of Trump's business experience and the current president's vulnerabilities.

drankin
He's seriously thinking about running. I dare say that he would take it if he ran.
 
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You provided neither much reference nor even an intelligent opinion for the beginning of a discussion. Can you elaborate ?
 
As for a reference: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/northamerica/usa/us-politics/8044423/Donald-Trump-to-run-for-US-president.html

No opinion will be offered in response to your condescention.
 


drankin said:
No opinion will be offered in response to your condescention.
It is spelled "condescension". I am sorry you feel that way. I guess it only means you admit this kind of people news is not the most interesting distraction.
 


I predict the President will lose reelection if events continue on the current trend, given any half decent opposition candidate. I don't make that prediction lightly against an incumbent President who I grant is formidable as a politician, and given the reluctance of the electorate to put a Republican president in place along side the pending Republican House.

But given his campaign tax pledge:
"I can make a firm pledge. Under my plan, no family making less than $250,000 a year will see any form of tax increase. Not your income tax, not your payroll tax, not your capital gains taxes, not any of your taxes."
is going out the window as of Jan 1 without even a vote for a great many Americans http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jobs_a...ciliation_Act_of_2003#Tax_bracket_comparison" 2.0 with a similar result.

2001: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_Growth_and_Tax_Relief_Reconciliation_Act_of_2001#Income_tax
2003: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jobs_a...nciliation_Act_of_2003#Tax_bracket_comparison
 
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humanino said:
It is spelled "condescension". I am sorry you feel that way. I guess it only means you admit this kind of people news is not the most interesting distraction.

Are you going to discuss the OP or simply parse my weaknesses in grammar?
 


Too corporatist.

The US corporatist overlords rule from the executive rooms of the banks.
 


No. Absolutely not. The financial sector already has it's fingers in our government up to its armpits, at taxpayer expense for their mistakes. I fail to see how electing a "business magnate" is going to improve that conundrum.
 


mheslep said:
I predict the President will lose reelection if events continue on the current trend, given any half decent opposition candidate. I don't make that prediction lightly against an incumbent President who I grant is formidable as a politician, and given the reluctance of the electorate to put a Republican president in place along side the pending Republican House.

But given his campaign tax pledge:
"I can make a firm pledge. Under my plan, no family making less than $250,000 a year will see any form of tax increase. Not your income tax, not your payroll tax, not your capital gains taxes, not any of your taxes."

is going out the window as of Jan 1 without even a vote for a great many Americans http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jobs_a...ciliation_Act_of_2003#Tax_bracket_comparison" 2.0 with a similar result.

2001: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_Growth_and_Tax_Relief_Reconciliation_Act_of_2001#Income_tax
2003: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jobs_a...nciliation_Act_of_2003#Tax_bracket_comparison
You're missing one citation - to the Obama plan that calls for the tax raise on lower income groups.
 
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  • #10


drankin said:
Are you going to discuss the OP or simply parse my weaknesses in grammar?
I most probably have a worse grammar and orthography than yours. I would appreciate if you corrected mine. I was not worried about your grammar. I just wanted you to spell out

mheslep said:
the President will lose reelection
even against Trump. I would rather not display my own opinion on such possibilities.
 
  • #11


With all due acknowledgment of the fact that, as a Brit, this is really not my business, in response to the thread title, I would like to quote an American that has a great deal of kudos here in the UK these days:

You cannot be serious.
 
  • #12
humanino said:
I most probably have a worse grammar and orthography than you. I would appreciate if you corrected me. I was not worried about your grammar. I just wanted you to spell out

even against Trump. I would rather not display my own opinion on such possibilities.
It's unspeakable? How about the http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm" Can they be spoken about? Any chance Trump can do better at getting them jobs?

Trump's never been elected to anything, not even a neighborhood association, so this is not a practical proposal. The talk about it does signal the President's vulnerability though.
 
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  • #13


If there's one thing I'm fairly sure about, it is that if Trump runs, he will not be a Fred Thompson.
 
  • #14


mugaliens said:
No. Absolutely not. The financial sector already has it's fingers in our government up to its armpits, at taxpayer expense for their mistakes. I fail to see how electing a "business magnate" is going to improve that conundrum.

He has a successful resume. He is intelligent. He has never been a typical "politician" that I'm aware of which would be to his advantage given the current sentiment towards the Republican party by Republican voters. He has the no-nonsense character we haven't seen for some time.

I lieu of any other worthy Republican candidates, I think he has a chance if he throws in the hat. We did elect a B rated actor for two terms. The idea of a successful business person as our prez while were in a recession has a ring of optimism to it.
 
  • #15
mheslep said:
I predict the President will lose reelection
http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/100110_fox_news_poll.pdf
I recently read in "Le Monde" how everybody complains about their president in the US. Rich people calling him a socialist, poor people claiming he does not help enough. I find it funny how it reflects in the poll : people do not want to vote for him, but when asked, they pretty much prefer him over anybody else.

So just as some would find anything they can to complain about, now some will find any potential candidate to probe opinions.

Trump, seriously ? You have nothing better ?
 
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  • #16


Gokul43201 said:
You're missing one citation - to the Obama plan that calls for the tax raise on lower income groups.

I think the link to the JGTRRA was for that purpose...?
 
  • #17


CRGreathouse said:
I think the link to the JGTRRA was for that purpose...?
The only mention of Obama on that page is the following sentence:
"The Obama administration proposed keeping tax cuts for people making less than $250,000 per year."

I don't think that helps the case that mheslep was trying to make.
 
  • #18


drankin said:
We did elect a B rated actor for two terms.
Yes, and who had decades of professional executive political office experience and a previous attempt at the Presidency behind him ('76 against Ford).
 
  • #19


mheslep said:
Yes, and who had decades of professional executive political office experience and a previous attempt at the Presidency behind him ('76 against Ford).

My point is that we have a precedent for voting in celebrities.
 
  • #20
Well, Trump could help Uncle Sam through bankruptcy. :biggrin:

Ref: http://www.mademan.com/mm/how-many-times-has-donald-trump-filed-bankruptcy.html
For legendary tycoons, Donald Trump tops the list, but how many times has Donald Trump filed for bankruptcy? The 90’s recession wasn’t picky about who it affected. Donald Trump felt the pinch as well. His decision to use high interest bonds to finance the assembly of the Taj Mahal casino caused life to get very stressful for the tycoon.

In 1991, unable to pay a $3.5 billion loan, he declared business bankruptcy. He also came close to filing personal ruin. At the time, his personal debt was estimated to be around $900 million. Due to the bankruptcy, banks and bondholders lost millions. They came to a compromise with Donald Trump. The banks gave him lower interest rates and a longer time frame to repay the debt and Donald Trump gave the investors half the ownership of the Taj Mahal. In mere months the casino was back in business.

Not even a year later, Trump Plaza Hotel folded and Donald had to declare bankruptcy. . . . .

The bankruptcy saga didn’t stop there. In 2004, Donald filed for bankruptcy protection and restructured his debt. . . . .
Oh, yeah - he's a great businessman - just what the country needs. :smile:
 
  • #21


drankin said:
My point is that we have a precedent for voting in celebrities.
I know, I got that part, but I wanted point out that the US does not have much of a history of voting for Presidents with absolutely zero electoral experience. Only Eisenhower comes to mind.
 
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  • #22


humanino said:
. I find it funny how it reflects in the poll : people do not want to vote for him, but when asked, they pretty much prefer him over anybody else.
? From the poll
If the 2012 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Barack Obama: Vote for someone else: 54% (total)
 
  • #23
Astronuc said:
Well, Trump could help Uncle Sam through bankruptcy. :biggrin:

Ref: http://www.mademan.com/mm/how-many-times-has-donald-trump-filed-bankruptcy.html
Oh, yeah - he's a great businessman - just what the country needs. :smile:

Doh! Now this I didn't know. That won't work at all.
 
  • #24
Astronuc said:
Well, Trump could help Uncle Sam through bankruptcy. :biggrin:

Ref: http://www.mademan.com/mm/how-many-times-has-donald-trump-filed-bankruptcy.html
Oh, yeah - he's a great businessman - just what the country needs. :smile:
rofl? That's a disappointing post. It's one thing to point out his lack of political office experience, but mocking his business acumen? Trump doesn't run lemonade stands. Exactly what do you believe is involved in starting high risk real estate businesses in NYC, or starting businesses in the US in general for that matter? How many jobs do you imagine Trump has created along the way as opposed to, say, some community coordinator?
 
  • #25


drankin said:
Doh! Now this I didn't know. That won't work at all.
You didn't know that many entrepreneurs fail, often repeatedly, in route to success?
 
  • #26


Gokul43201 said:
You're missing one citation - to the Obama plan that calls for the tax raise on lower income groups.
Quote was from Sept. 12, 2008 in New Hampshire.
http://politifact.com/truth-o-meter...ily-making-less-250000-will-see-any-form-tax/
As of Jan 1, all of the Bush tax cuts will expire and taxes will increase on all income brackets that enjoyed cuts from '01 and '03.

So I don't follow, what do you mean by way of a citation for the O plan that calls for a raise on lower income groups?
 
  • #27


Gokul43201 said:
The only mention of Obama on that page is the following sentence:
"The Obama administration proposed keeping tax cuts for people making less than $250,000 per year."

I don't think that helps the case that mheslep was trying to make.

I can speak for neither mheslep nor Gokul43201, but I think the point the latter was trying to make was that income tax will increase Jan 1 2011 for those making at least ~$34,000, depending on the exact cutoff for the tax brackets and filing status.

Of course, strictly speaking, this is not Obama but the current Congress.

Edit: mheslep beat me to it.
 
  • #28


mheslep said:
You didn't know that many entrepreneurs fail, often repeatedly, in route to success?

No, I agree with that but this is political ammunition that would be exploited by his opposition. And the general voter will buy into it, IMO.
 
  • #29


drankin said:
No, I agree with that but this is political ammunition that would be exploited by his opposition. And the general voter will buy into it, IMO.
Oh agreed, but I think Trump's bombastic personality, at least the public showman version, would do him well before recourse to his business record.
 
  • #30


mheslep said:
? From the poll
If the 2012 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Barack Obama: Vote for someone else: 54% (total)
That is part of what I am saying : the majority wants to vote for somebody else. But then please go to the next page : every single specific opponent looses against him.

My interpretation is that people are dis-satisfied, yet it is not clear what alternative they have anyway.
 

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