sysprog said:
It's a reasonable formulation of a question the correct answer to which is not known to be known.
Hi sysprog:
I wonder if "the correct answer" is not only not known but also not scientifically knowable. I cannot imagine a scientific method that would result in certainty that that the universe was in fact infinite, or in fact finite. However, I think there are methods that can produce an approximation of the probability that the universe is infinite or is finite.
I understand that the universe model that best fits the currently available astronomical data gives a value for the average spatial curvature that is close to zero on the side that corresponds to a hyperbolic (infinite) spatial geometry. This value also comes with a range of error. From these values (and assumptions about the probability distribution) one can calculate the probability that the geometry is
not hyperspherical, which means it is not finite.
I apologize for not citing a well known reference on this topic, and the numerical values, but I do not now have the time to look it up.
ADDED
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1502.01589.pdfFrom abstract
The spatial curvature of our Universe is found to be very close to zero, with|ΩK|<0.005.
6.2.4 Curvature
(49) The combined constraint shows impressive consistency with aflat universe: ΩK=−0.005+0.016−0.017(95%,PlanckTT+lowP+lensing).
I confess I do not know the correct method for working with an with different value for + and -. I am making a guess that since the two values are close, if I use the average 0.0165 as standard deviation and assume a Gaussian distribution, then the probability will approximately be
P(ΩK > 0) ~= erf(0.005/0.0165) = ~erf(0.303) = ~0.332.
Thus, based on the calculations of this reference, the probability is ~1/3 the universe is finite and ~`2/3 it is infinite.
Regards,
Buzz