phyzguy
Science Advisor
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Ryan_m_b said:Agreed, I often get annoyed at this comparison. The thing is about space is that there isn't any destination remotely analogous to on on Earth. Here there's a free biosphere to keep us supplied with everything we need from food to a microbiome. The first European settlers to the Americas might have had a hard crossing on the ocean but when they got there they had plenty of natural resources to untilise.
Furthermore people underestimate how many people are needed to sustain a high tech economy. When you live in wooden houses and most of what you need can be built by a blacksmith or carpenter all you need is a few hundred, perhaps less, people to maintain a healthy society. Filling all the specialised roles of a modern economy would take far more, potentially hundreds of thousands of people. If we were ever to build a self sufficient colony somewhere not on Earth not only would we have to make massive advances in ecosystem design and maintainence as well as mass manned space travel but we'd need to find a way to transport thousands upon thousands of people as well as supply them with a small industrial city's worth of infrastructure. The rugged Wild West it is not, Hong Kong in space maybe.
I agree with most of what you said here. "Hong Kong in space" is a good way to think of it. However, just because it will be difficult doesn't mean that it will forever be impossible. As I said earlier, assuming economic growth continues (and there's no reason to assume that it will not), then the resources to build a colony on Mars or out in space will be relatively accessible in another century or so. Note that a colony in space (not necessarily on a planet) need not be self-sufficient from the very beginning. It would be perfectly acceptable to be dependent on resources from Earth for a period of time, even a long period of time, while the infrastructure in space grew.