General Rule: If a scientist (let's call him Bob) is able, theoretically, to know what result an experiment would or will have, then it would or will have that result. Otherwise it's unknown.
"Theoretically" means: it doesn't matter whether Bob actually does know. If the laws of physics - and math, logic, all of science - make it possible to know the result, then that result will happen. It also doesn't matter if there's an actual person (Bob) involved or just impersonal nature.
The "laws of physics" include classical, quantum, whatever's relevant.
Note, of course our current knowledge of physics is not complete and is wrong in some cases (although none of us knows what those cases are). So I'm talking about the ideal, "true" laws. Alternatively, we can say the Rule applies to the extent that our current knowledge is correct.
It doesn't matter whether it's a classical, quantum, or whatever type of experiment.
It doesn't matter when the experiment is conducted relative to us. We could be talking about an experiment to be done tomorrow, or this instant; or an experiment that wasn't done yesterday but could have been. The above General Rule always works.
Ok, let's apply this Rule to some specific situations.
Simon Phoenix said:
So given that Alice and Bob get the same results if they perform experiment X, and given that Alice's result is 1 for experiment X and Bob's is whatever for experiment Y, then we can make the counterfactual statement "given Alice's result of 1, Bob would have obtained this result also if he had measured X".
If Bob's measurement was made
after Alice then you're right. "After" means they're timelike separated, and a photon sent from Alice when she did the experiment has time to reach Bob. OTOH if Bob does his measurement at the same time, or before, Alice, then you're wrong.
Let's be more explicit. Suppose Alice and Bob measure their entangled particles at the same time, A at 0 degrees and B at 30. A gets "1". Now, suppose Bob had instead measured at 0, would he have gotten 1? Nobody knows, or can know. 50/50 to get 1 or -1. This means, obviously, that if he'd used 0 degrees we also can't say Alice would have gotten 1.
BTW I realize this statement is controversial. With some very far-fetched assumptions, like MWI, or "consistent histories", we could possibly deny the statement. It's a bit difficult, if anyone wants to discuss it further. If you don't then there's no difficulty :-)
Simon Phoenix said:
What we can say is that Bob "would have" obtained the same result as Alice - whatever that result is.
Yes, laws of physics assure us their results would (or will) match, when they measure twin-state entangled particles at same angle, regardless who went first (or, if spacelike separated, neither went "first"). The laws also assure us we can't know whether result will be 1 or -1. Except if Bob goes
after Alice, and she got 1, then he must also.
BTW it may be impossible to definitely say they are measuring "at the same time". But that's not important at the moment.
Simon Phoenix said:
Suppose I prepare a spin-1/2 particle in the 'up' eigenstate of spin-z. I could perform a measurement of spin-x and I'd get either the result spin-x 'up' or spin-x 'down' with equal probability. But I'd be perfectly entitled to make the statement "if I'd measured spin-z instead I would have obtained the result spin-z 'up' with unit probability".
That's right
Simon Phoenix said:
So if we define 'counterfactual definiteness' as the ability to make meaningful statements of the form "I measured X and got the value x, but if I had measured Y then I would have got the value y" then QM allows us to make such statements, in certain circumstances, but not all.
Classical and quantum physics are identical re. CFD, they both follow the same "General Rule". You can say classical/quantum physics "is" or "is not" counterfactual. If you guys can agree which, I'll be happy to go along. If you all agree to call physics a petunia, fine, I have no problem with that. All that matters is the results of experiments. Not terminology. Not theory. Not Einstein's opinion, nor mine, nor yours. None of that means anything concerning physics. All that matters is the results of experiments.
Zafa Pi said:
Does anyone have a guess how 19th century physicists would have responded to: Does "If Alice and Bob both perform experiment X they will get the same result." imply "If Alice performs X and gets value 1 and Bob performs Y and gets 2; he would have gotten 1 if he had performed X instead."? I think they all would have said yes.
We can guess. But it's impossible, by laws of physics, logic etc, to know what they would have said.
A couple more examples to beat the horse to death.
Suppose Alice went first, and measured "1" (as did Bob). Then - if Bob had gone first by a few seconds, instead - would he have gotten "1"? No one knows. 50/50 it's +-1.
Suppose Alice measures "1". Suppose that, instead, she'd done the experiment a second before or a second after, or an inch to the left or right. Would she have gotten 1? It's 50/50.
Suppose I asked Alice - yesterday, today, tomorrow - what her name is. Suppose she's been asked that question thousands of times and always answered "Alice". Can I assume she will, or would have, said "Alice"? No. She might say "my name is Alice", or "Jeez we've worked together for years, don't you know my name yet already?" She might sing the Star-Spangled Banner, mangling that high F. It's impossible to know, because the laws of physics (and science, etc) can't predict with certainty what a human being will do or would have done, and probably never will.