Limit theorem conditioning on information set

In summary, under certain assumptions, the convergence of var[x_t | F_t] can be regarded as a function of F_t and can be shown to converge in probability to its expectation, 1/T*g(F_t).
  • #1
sihag
29
0
Would anyone be able to throw some light on the convergence of
var[x_t | F_t] , where x_t is a stochastic time-series process, and F_t is the information (it's past history) uptil time t.

What I mean by the question is that
var[x_t | F_t] can be regarded as a function of F_t
say, g(F_t)

Now, does
1/T*g(F_t) ----> converge in probability (a sort of Weak Law of Large Numbers) to its expectation (over the distribution of F_t)?
(possibly under some assumptions on the dependence of F_t through time ?)

Thanks for any help
 
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  • #2
. The answer to your question is yes, under some assumptions on the dependence of F_t through time. Specifically, if F_t is a Markov process, then it has been shown that 1/T*g(F_t) converges in probability to its expectation (over the distribution of F_t). This result is known as the law of large numbers for Markov processes.
 

1. What is the Limit Theorem Conditioning on Information Set?

The Limit Theorem Conditioning on Information Set is a mathematical concept that describes the behavior of a sequence of random variables as the number of observations in the sequence increases. It states that under certain conditions, the average of a large number of observations will converge to a certain value, known as the limit. Conditioning on an information set refers to considering only a subset of the available information in determining the limit.

2. What is the significance of the Limit Theorem Conditioning on Information Set?

The Limit Theorem Conditioning on Information Set is significant because it allows us to make predictions and draw conclusions about a population based on a sample of observations. It also helps us understand the behavior of random variables and the relationship between different variables.

3. What are the conditions for the Limit Theorem Conditioning on Information Set to hold?

The conditions for the Limit Theorem Conditioning on Information Set to hold include the sample size being sufficiently large, the observations being independent and identically distributed, and the underlying distribution having finite variance. Additionally, the information set must be a subset of the available information and cannot contain any redundant or irrelevant information.

4. What are some applications of the Limit Theorem Conditioning on Information Set?

The Limit Theorem Conditioning on Information Set has many applications in various fields, including statistics, economics, and finance. For example, it is used in hypothesis testing, regression analysis, and time series analysis. It can also be applied in risk management and portfolio optimization in finance.

5. How does the Limit Theorem Conditioning on Information Set differ from the Central Limit Theorem?

The Limit Theorem Conditioning on Information Set and the Central Limit Theorem are both related to the behavior of random variables. However, the Limit Theorem Conditioning on Information Set focuses on the behavior of a sequence of random variables as the number of observations increases, while the Central Limit Theorem describes the behavior of the sum of a large number of independent, identically distributed random variables. Additionally, the Limit Theorem Conditioning on Information Set takes into account additional information, while the Central Limit Theorem does not.

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