Oldfart said:
I was a bit discouraged by twofish's pessimistic outlook on this, then lifted some by jnorman and ryan's collectively cheerier opinions, which suggest that this telescope is doable, given some pretty spectacular state-of-the-art advances and a ton of money.
Hmmmmm...
I take back a bit of what I said. I was lazy and I didn't run the numbers, and now that someone has, it turns out to be merely "extremely difficult" rather than "totally impossible given our understanding of physical law."
The Earth's orbit is 150,000,000 km and so if you could do some VLBI, then diffraction is no longer a problem. Now, then there is the problem of getting the mirrors into orbit, and then inventing some way of doing long distance optical interferometry. That puts it in the category of fusion rockets. Nothing that we can do now, but "no physical law were violated in the making of this device."
Yeah, it does seem like some sort of "live TV" of moving things like butterflys 100 LY's away is a tough one, but hopefully no different in difficulty than our transition from still civil war pictures to today's movies.
Yup. It's important to distinguish between the "impossible under known physical law" and "extremely difficult." It's possible that our understanding of the universe is incomplete and what we think is impossible isn't. But the problem with things that are "impossible under known physical law" is that it's possible that it really is impossible, and even if it isn't it's not clear how to build the device.
A butterfly-seeking telescope is "merely very difficult"
This thread was prompted by my reading a nearby thread about aliens and learning about how difficult it would be to save the human race in the future by launching it off to somewhere. This led to wondering where "somewhere" might be, and it seemed like "somewhere" needs to be selected very carefully. Hence the telescope, a necessary first step. Unless someone else has a better idea...
Oh... One problem here is that you may find that you are trying to solve a problem that is more difficult than what you need to. Finding a butterfly at 100 LY is a *lot* more difficult than finding an earth-like planet at 100LY, and we should be able to do that in the next decade or two. (Google for Kepler).
One thing that makes the problem easier is that if you are just looking for earth-like planets, you aren't picky about which stars you want to the planet around. Kepler looks at a lot of stars and then tries to find a blip as the planet passes right in front of another star. It's *very* unlikely for that to happen to one planet, but if you do the math and count the number of stars, then you should see something.
Also, if we develop enough advance technology, then we can use that technology to fix the problem that needs to get us off the planet. The thing about a butterfly-seeking telescope, is that any civilization that could built it is able to do engineering in the Earth's orbit and can colonize Mars or Jupiter.
Then again, it's possible that we'll misuse this technology. It's interesting that the major things that could really screw up the planet are things that we are doing to ourselves. Any civilization that could build a orbital telescope, could screw up the Earth in new and original ways. If you could build a butterfly telescope, you could without too much trouble turn it into an earth-frying weapon.