Normal distribution head-scratcher

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around a problem involving the normal distribution of student exam scores, specifically focusing on calculating the probability that the difference between two randomly selected students' scores exceeds 5 marks. The parameters provided include a mean of 63 and a standard deviation of 21.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Mathematical reasoning, Assumption checking

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants explore the use of a new random variable Y defined as the difference between two scores, suggesting that it follows a normal distribution with a mean of 0 and a calculated standard deviation. Questions arise regarding the calculation of probabilities and the interpretation of results from the z-table.

Discussion Status

There is an ongoing exploration of the problem with participants offering various approaches to calculating the probability. Some guidance has been provided regarding the properties of normal distributions and how to set up the problem, but no consensus has been reached on the final calculations or interpretations.

Contextual Notes

Participants note the challenge of calculating probabilities directly and the need to use z-scores for interpretation. There is also mention of the implications of the high standard deviation on the expected probability outcomes.

Mglafas
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Homework Statement



A study investigates the performance of students in an exam, which is known to follow a normal distribution, with a mean of 63 and a standard deviation of 21.

What is the probability that the difference between two randomly selected
students is more than 5 marks?

Homework Equations



P(|x1-x2|>5)


Any ideas? Many thanks :)
 
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Mglafas said:

Homework Statement



A study investigates the performance of students in an exam, which is known to follow a normal distribution, with a mean of 63 and a standard deviation of 21.

What is the probability that the difference between two randomly selected
students is more than 5 marks?

Homework Equations



P(|x1-x2|>5)Any ideas? Many thanks :)

Try using

Y=X1-X2 as a new random variable with mean 0 and standard deviation of sqrt(2)*21

P(Y>5)
Z=(Y-mean)/std

P(Z>.052) = 1-P(Z<.052)

so now you can find the values in a z-table.

I haven't thought of the other case in which X2>X1, but this is at least how you should think about the question.

With such a high deviation intuitively you should be getting a high probability.
 
Last edited:
korican04 said:
Try using

Y=X1-X2 as a new random variable with mean 0 and standard deviation of sqrt(2)*21

P(Y>5)
Z=(Y-mean)/std

P(Z>.052) = 1-P(Z<.052)

so now you can find the values in a z-table.

I haven't thought of the other case in which X2>X1, but this is at least how you should think about the question.

With such a high deviation intuitively you should be getting a high probability.

How did you get 0.052? Mean=0, SD= sqrt(42)?
 
For normal distributions you can use the properties if X1 and X2 are two independent random variables then Y=aX1+bX2 is a random variable with normal distribution and mean a*u1+b*u2 and variance a^2*sigma1^2+b^2*sigma2^2

So in our case Y=X1-X2, mean = 1*63+-1*63=0
variance = 1^2*(21^2)+(-1)^2*(21^2)=21^2+21^2=2*21^2
std=sqrt(2)*21

P(Y>5)
You can't look this up. so you look up Z which is (Y-mean)/std.
 

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