Population Growth in Country: Calculating +1 & +4 Year Populations

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SUMMARY

The discussion focuses on calculating past populations based on a current population of 15.2 million and an annual growth rate of 2.7%. The correct formula for calculating the previous year's population is Un = Un+1 / (1 + 0.027). The user initially used an incorrect equation, leading to a miscalculation of 14,789,600 instead of the correct value of 14,793,187. The accurate approach emphasizes the importance of using the correct growth formula for population calculations.

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  • Understanding of exponential growth formulas
  • Basic knowledge of population dynamics
  • Familiarity with mathematical notation and algebra
  • Ability to manipulate equations for solving variables
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Mathematicians, statisticians, demographers, and anyone involved in population studies or growth modeling will benefit from this discussion.

Peter G.
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The population of a country is 15.2 million and is growing at a steady rate of 2.7% annually.
a) What was the population one year ago
b) What was the population four years ago

So I did this:

Un+1 = Un-1 * ((n-1)*0.973)

Doing so, I got for the first answer 14,789,600 but the book got 14,793,187

What did I do wrong?
 
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Your equation is not correct. The basic relation is Un+1 = Un (1+2.7%), so for a) you can solve this to get Un as a function of Un+1.
 

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