Possible Tsunami Model for Recent 7.1 Aftershock and Delayed Effect at Same Site

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The recent 7.1 magnitude aftershock may actually be a foreshock indicating a potential future earthquake. The discussion suggests that the delayed tsunami effect could be attributed to a "saucer sloshing" phenomenon, where water first moves toward the ocean before returning to land. Hydrodynamic simulations could provide insights into this process without requiring changes in ocean volume or impulse effects for tsunami generation. There is a lack of detailed models for predicting earthquakes, including their magnitude and location, which complicates understanding these events. Overall, further research and modeling are necessary to improve predictions and understand the mechanisms behind tsunami generation.
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Might the recent 7.1 ‘aftershock’ at same site one month later, actually be a for shock of another pending earthquake?

Also might the delayed tsunami effect have been due to saucer sloshing effect? That is, if the sea bottom (saucer) is shaken, then water first sloshes towards the more open oceanic side, and then secondarily sloshes back to landslide; hence accounting for the delay? Might hydrodynamic simulations be of help? Hence would neither an ocean volume changing effect, nor an impulse effect be necessitated for this tsunami generation?
 
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cph said:
Might the recent 7.1 ‘aftershock’ at same site one month later, actually be a for shock of another pending earthquake?

Also might the delayed tsunami effect have been due to saucer sloshing effect? That is, if the sea bottom (saucer) is shaken, then water first sloshes towards the more open oceanic side, and then secondarily sloshes back to landslide; hence accounting for the delay? Might hydrodynamic simulations be of help? Hence would neither an ocean volume changing effect, nor an impulse effect be necessitated for this tsunami generation?
We don't have sufficiently detailed models of the subocean crust to predict earthquakes, nor their magnitude, location, or orientation. All the details come after the fact.

The 7.1 mag earthquake (38.253°N, 141.640°E, depth = 49 km (30.4 miles)) of April 7 was in the vicinity, but not the same location as the mag 9 earthquake (38.322°N, 142.369°E, epicenter depth = 32 km (19.9 miles)) of March 11.

Look for the 5 pointed star (it's orange, but should be yellow) in:
http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/eq_depot/2011/eq_110407_c0002ksa/neic_c0002ksa_h.html

Look at the Seismicity profile and see the importance of location, orientation and depth.
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eqinthenews/2011/usc0001xgp/neic_c0001xgp_c.php
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eqarchives/subduction_zone/usc0001xgp/

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/eq_depot/2011/eq_110311_c0001xgp/neic_c0001xgp_h.html


One can do research here
http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/hazard/tsu.shtml

http://www.jma.go.jp/en/tsunami/observation_04_20110311181349.html

http://itic.ioc-unesco.org/

http://books.google.com/books?id=kR...ing development of benchmarked models&f=false
 
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