Price-driven energy technology advances

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The discussion centers on the impact of rising fuel prices on the adoption of new energy sources and technologies. As oil prices increase, particularly at levels of 150% to 500% of current prices, the feasibility of utilizing tar sands and oil shale becomes more relevant. The conversation highlights that significant inflation in oil prices could drive the industry to explore these unconventional sources. Specifically, it is noted that companies like Shell are waiting for stable long-term crude oil prices above $30 per barrel before committing to shale exploitation. This indicates a threshold price that could catalyze the development of alternative fuel sources in response to escalating fuel costs.
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What new energy sources and technologies will we see introduced to the general public given the price of fuel at its current level? At 150% current level? 200%? 300%? 500%?
 
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For instance, how much inflation of oil prices must we endure to incorporate ubiquitous tar sands and oil shale as a practical sources of fuel?
 
Rumor has it that Shell wants to see consistent long-term barrel prices for raw crude over $30 before they will go ahead with shale exploitation.
 
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