Probability Distribution of Random Sums of Exponential RVs

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SUMMARY

The probability distribution of the random variable Z, defined as Z=X_1+...+X_N where X_i follows an independent and identically distributed Exponential(λ) distribution and N follows a Geometric_1(p) distribution, is derived using moment generating functions (MGFs). The correct formulation is M_Z(z)=G_N(M_X(z)) resulting in Z being distributed as Geometric_1(p * (λ/(λ-z))). The discussion emphasizes the need to utilize the MGF or Laplace transform for continuous random variables instead of discrete generating functions. Additionally, the density function can be obtained using the Erlang distribution approach.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of Exponential random variables and their properties
  • Knowledge of Geometric distributions and their applications
  • Familiarity with moment generating functions (MGFs) and Laplace transforms
  • Concept of Erlang distribution and its relation to sums of exponential variables
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the properties of moment generating functions (MGFs) in detail
  • Learn about the Erlang distribution and its applications in probability theory
  • Explore the relationship between Laplace transforms and probability distributions
  • Investigate the implications of using conditional expectations in probability distributions
USEFUL FOR

Students studying probability theory, statisticians working with random variables, and researchers analyzing stochastic processes will benefit from this discussion.

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Homework Statement



[itex]Z=X_1+\ldots+X_N[/itex], where:

[itex]X_i\sim_{iid}\,\text{Exponential}(\lambda)[/itex]

[itex]N\sim\,\text{Geometric}_1(p)[/itex]

For all [itex]i,\,N[/itex] and [itex]X_i[/itex] are independent.

Find the probability distribution of [itex]Z[/itex]

Homework Equations



[tex]G_N(t)=\frac{(1-p)t}{1-pt}[/tex]
[tex]M_X(t)=\frac{\lambda}{\lambda-t}[/tex]

The Attempt at a Solution



[tex]M_Z(z)=G_N(M_X(z))=\frac{(1-p)\left(\frac{\lambda}{\lambda-z}\right)}{1-p\left(\frac{ \lambda}{\lambda-z}\right)}[/tex]
[tex]Z\sim\,\text{Geometric}_1\left(p \frac{ \lambda}{\lambda-z}\right)[/tex]

Is that even correct? Should I be looking for [itex]E[Z][/itex] and [itex]V[Z][/itex] ?
 
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spitz said:

Homework Statement



[itex]Z=X_1+\ldots+X_N[/itex], where:

[itex]X_i\sim_{iid}\,\text{Exponential}(\lambda)[/itex]

[itex]N\sim\,\text{Geometric}_1(p)[/itex]

For all [itex]i,\,N[/itex] and [itex]X_i[/itex] are independent.

Find the probability distribution of [itex]Z[/itex]

Homework Equations



[tex]G_N(t)=\frac{(1-p)t}{1-pt}[/tex]
[tex]M_X(t)=\frac{\lambda}{\lambda-t}[/tex]

The Attempt at a Solution



[tex]M_Z(z)=G_N(M_X(z))=\frac{(1-p)\left(\frac{\lambda}{\lambda-z}\right)}{1-p\left(\frac{ \lambda}{\lambda-z}\right)}[/tex]
[tex]Z\sim\,\text{Geometric}_1\left(p \frac{ \lambda}{\lambda-z}\right)[/tex]

Is that even correct? Should I be looking for [itex]E[Z][/itex] and [itex]V[Z][/itex] ?

Z is a continuous random variable, so does not have a discrete generating function M_Z(z). You should be looking at its MGF [itex]M_Y(u) = E e^{u Y},[/itex] or its Laplace transform [itex]L_Y(s) = E e^{-s Y}.[/itex] You almost had it right, but you switched the roles of the two types of transforms.

Another, perhaps more direct approach is to get the density [itex]f_Y(t)[/itex] of Y from
[tex]f_Y(t) dt = \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} P\{N=n\} P\{ Y \in (t,t+dt) | N=n \},[/tex]
and noting that given {N=n}, Y has an n-Erlang distribution.

RGV
 
I'm still confused... this is what I was doing:
[tex]M_Z(z)=E(e^{zZ})=E[E(e^{zZ}|N)]=E[(Ee^{zX_1})(Ee^{zX_2})\ldots(Ee^{zX_N})][/tex]
[tex]=E[(Ee^{zX})^N]=E[(M_X(z))^N]=G_N(M_X(z))[/tex]
Where am I going wrong? Should I be doing this:
[tex]M_Z(s)=M_X(G_N(s))[/tex]
 
Last edited:

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