Probability Series System Failure Rate Question

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on calculating the probability of a circuit board functioning after 5000 hours, given its components' failure rates. The circuit consists of 20 integrated circuits (ICs) with a failure rate of 5 FITs, 300 resistors (R) at 20 FITs, and 10 diodes (D) at 10 FITs. The failure probabilities are calculated as P(IC failing) = 25/1,000,000, P(D failing) = 100/1,000,000, and P(R failing) = 50/1,000,000. The overall system probability of success is determined by multiplying the individual success probabilities, as all components must function for the circuit to operate.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of failure rates in electronics (FIT - Failures In Time)
  • Knowledge of probability theory, specifically in series systems
  • Familiarity with exponential decay functions (e^-lambda t)
  • Basic circuit theory and component reliability analysis
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the calculation of reliability in series systems for electronic components
  • Learn about the application of exponential functions in reliability engineering
  • Research methods for converting FIT rates to probabilities over time
  • Explore advanced topics in reliability analysis, such as Markov models
USEFUL FOR

Electrical engineers, reliability engineers, and students studying electronics who are interested in understanding component failure rates and system reliability in circuit design.

rzn972
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Homework Statement



A circuit board has 20 integrated circuits(ic) with constant failure rate of 5 chips per million per hour (5FITs), 300 resistors(r) with a constant failure rate of 20 chips per million per 1000 hour (20 FIT), and 10 diodes(d) with a constant failure rate of 10 chips per million per 1000 hour (10 FIT). All of these components must work for the circuit to work. The circuit is connected in a series configuration. At some arbitrary time t, the circuit works properly. What is the probability that the circuit board will be working 5000 hours later?

Homework Equations


The Attempt at a Solution



So the probability of failures are P(ic failing)= 25/1000000 P(d fail)= 100/1000000 P(r fail)= 50/1000000. and the probability of a success is 1- (failure). In a series system, all components must succeed for the system to succeed. So just multiply the probability of successes? Does this look right? Or does the failure rate include exponential functions? (e^-lambda t). Thank you so much!
 
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rzn972 said:

Homework Statement



A circuit board has 20 integrated circuits(ic) with constant failure rate of 5 chips per million per hour (5FITs), 300 resistors(r) with a constant failure rate of 20 chips per million per 1000 hour (20 FIT), and 10 diodes(d) with a constant failure rate of 10 chips per million per 1000 hour (10 FIT). All of these components must work for the circuit to work. The circuit is connected in a series configuration. At some arbitrary time t, the circuit works properly. What is the probability that the circuit board will be working 5000 hours later?


Homework Equations





The Attempt at a Solution



So the probability of failures are P(ic failing)= 25/1000000 P(d fail)= 100/1000000 P(r fail)= 50/1000000. and the probability of a success is 1- (failure). In a series system, all components must succeed for the system to succeed. So just multiply the probability of successes? Does this look right? Or does the failure rate include exponential functions? (e^-lambda t). Thank you so much!

What, exactly, do the symbols P(ic failing), P(d fail) and P(r fail) stand for? I could not get your numbers.

You need to start with the failure (or non-failure) probabilities of individual integrated circuits, resistors and diodes---being careful to choose common units for all three---then find out the failure (or non-failure) rates of 20 integrated circuits, 300 resistors and 10 diodes, over some fixed time period like 1 hour. Once you have that you can go on to look at the 5000-hour problem.
 

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