Problem on interest rates -- Math proof interesting

AI Thread Summary
The discussion centers on proving that the average annual compound interest rate over an n-year period is less than or equal to the arithmetic mean of the annual interest rates. The key point is that the average rate is derived from the geometric mean of the terms (1 + i) for each year, rather than the rates themselves. Participants clarify that the correct application of the GM-AM inequality involves the accumulation of investments rather than the raw interest rates. The geometric mean is defined in the context of actuarial science as the mean of the accumulated values over the periods. The conversation emphasizes the need to correctly apply mathematical principles to establish the proof.
lesdavies123
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Hi, I have a problem that I need to solve, it goes like this: Using the fact that the geometric mean of a collection of positive numbers is less than or equal to the arithmetic mean, show that if annual compound interest rates over an n-year period are i1 in the first year, i2 in the second year,...,in in the nth year, then the average annual compound rate of interest for the n-year period is less than or equal to 1/n x (the summation of all the interest rates.

So that's the question, so I figure out that 1/n and the summation is the arithmetic mean of the interest rates. But to me, the geometric mean would be the nth root of all products of all the i. But the average annual compound rate would be the nth root of all the products of all the (1+i) - 1 in the end to get the interest rate. So that's it now I can't figure out how to do the proof as the average annual compound rate is not exactly the geometric mean but the nth root of the products of the (i+1) - 1 as I said earlier. So how can I put these together and do the proof if anybody figures it out! Thank you!
 
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lesdavies123 said:
Hi, I have a problem that I need to solve, it goes like this: Using the fact that the geometric mean of a collection of positive numbers is less than or equal to the arithmetic mean, show that if annual compound interest rates over an n-year period are i1 in the first year, i2 in the second year,...,in in the nth year, then the average annual compound rate of interest for the n-year period is less than or equal to 1/n x (the summation of all the interest rates.

So that's the question, so I figure out that 1/n and the summation is the arithmetic mean of the interest rates. But to me, the geometric mean would be the nth root of all products of all the i. But the average annual compound rate would be the nth root of all the products of all the (1+i) - 1 in the end to get the interest rate. So that's it now I can't figure out how to do the proof as the average annual compound rate is not exactly the geometric mean but the nth root of the products of the (i+1) - 1 as I said earlier. So how can I put these together and do the proof if anybody figures it out! Thank you!

You aren't applying the GM-AM inequality to the correct set of numbers.

If you invest X, then after n years you have<br /> A_{\mathrm{var}} = (1 + i_1)(1 + i_2) \dots (1 + i_n)X = X\prod_{i=1}^n (1 + i_n).<br /> If instead you had invested X at a constant rate of r you would have <br /> A_{\mathrm{fixed}} = X(1 + r)^n.<br /> By definition, the average rate \bar \imath is such that A_{\mathrm{fixed}} = A_{\mathrm{var}}, so \bar \imath must satisfy<br /> \prod_{i=1}^n (1 + i_n) = (1 + \bar \imath)^n. Thus 1 + \bar \imath is the geometric mean of the numbers \{1 + i_1, 1+ i_2, \dots, 1 + i_n\}.
 
pasmith said:
Thus 1 + \bar \imath is the geometric mean of the numbers \{1 + i_1, 1+ i_2, \dots, 1 + i_n\}.

Just to add to this, in actuarial science we define the geometric mean rate of return calculated over n periods of equal length to be
##(1+g)^n = \prod_{t=1}^{n}(1+i_t).##
As pasmith notes, its the mean of the accumulations not the rates themselves.
 
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