metacristi said:
What do you propose instead in such cases?
I do not need to provide an alternative to critique your ideas, of course.
Still,no matter the ultimate truth,we need a standard of knowledge,provided by the simplest account possible based on observed facts only and on the minimum of theoretical constructs.
Why? It is decidedly unclear why any of these presuppositions should be accepted or thought plausible. Why do theoretical constructs need to be minimised, for example, particularly if you then go on to declare an instrumentalist account satisfactory? Likewise, such an account is,
ceteris paribus, not likely to be the simplest; and moreover, there are
always antecedent assumptions that are unargued, unverifiable and unfalsifiable but involved in the formation of scientific theories. Why should your methodological advice get us what we require?
This is why science has the principle of parsimony 'inbuilt' at its core.
No, it doesn't. Are you aware of the writings of physicists like Bohr on the subject? We can only judge something like parsimony
a posteriori because the consequences of additional postulates, hypotheses, theoretical entities or assumptions only become clear (if at all)
after the fact, by which time the matter has been decided by other factors - or so said Bohr.
If we study the motivations of scientists in the past, we very often find that they were guided by something like an aesthetic sense, trying to find the most "beautiful" theory. Sometimes it happened that this was also the simplest,
mutatis mutandis, if - like Copernicus - they were commited to some mathematical regularity, say, but sometimes it was not.
without it an infinite number of sligthly different hypotheses would claim epistemological primacy.
That is neither a good nor satisfactory reason to claim primacy, since i could just as well use your argument to claim likewise for
any epistemology. The under-determination of theories by evidence, say, surely
must imply that only leprechauns can provide the answers we seek, right?
Finally there is no need to believe in the reality of theoretical constructs indispensable for the empirical success of a scientific theory (as some realists would require) before confirming them experimentally in a sound way.
Well, that is another argument; i'll be glad to oppose you on it another time, perhaps.
But clearly if the theory using them in premises is the most successful experiemntally it has to be preferred to all others.
Calling such things "clear" does not make it so. How do you propose to measure success? If we followed this methodological advice in the past, many theories we now take to be accurate (or maybe true or truthlike) would have fallen at the first fence - like the special theory when confronted with Kaufman's experiments, for example. Your suggestion fails to account for the actual practice of scientists.
I am aware this is a difficult problem,defining 'simpler',but clearly if one theory has more not confirmed yet theoretical constructs it will not be preferred.
Why is this any clearer than before? In an instrumentalist account, it will make no difference in any case.
Sure not all scientists will adhere to these 'simpler' programmes,even in periods of normal science...
Do you believe in the existence of so-called "normal science"? If so, i suggest you look at the criticisms the idea received back when Kuhn first suggested it, particularly in the volume
Criticism and the Growth of Knowledge, edited by Musgrave and Lakatos. More to the point here, why should anyone else so believe?
...some might prefer alternative programmes,even stagnant ones,trying to make them progressive but till they succed the simpler theory makes temporarily,at least,part of the main body of scientific knowledge.
As we already discussed, if we are aiming for instrumentalist theories then simplicity is like fine weather: it is nice to have sometimes but the day will go on just as before regardless. Even in the Lakatosian methodology, the currently employed research programme need not be the simplest. It is unclear that you are saying anything here.
till on that particular case you brought about the lakatosian view is vindicated,confirmed,by the scientific practice.
On a very narrow reading, perhaps, but not likely. Have you tried to answer the critique aimed at Lakatos? How does this instance "confirm" Lakatos' ideas? I could equally claim that Einstein vindicates the ignoring of falsifications.
I really doubt that scientists of the past preferred theories using redundant theoretical constructs.Let's be rational.
Thank you for telling me how to behave, but i think i'll continue to be irrational for a little longer. Since i did not say that "scientists of the past preferred theories using redundant theoretical constructs", it would be helpful if you did not imply that i did.
Anyway the intial conclusion of Kaufmann were so tight (though Abraham's model fared slightly better) that Einstein considered those results results as a confirmation of his theory long before Planck showed settled the problem.
I suggest you go back and read what Kaufman had to say about his work and also the reasons Einstein gave for holding to his theory in spite of it. The latter's view on confirmations - or "verification of little effects", as he called them - significantly differs from that you are attributing to him.