mfb said:
The Cassini impact had an energy of ~150 tonnes TNT equivalent;
The largest Shoemaker-Levy 9 fragment had an impact energy of 6000000000000 tonnes TNT equivalent (6*1012), the total energy was even higher.
I spent most of yesterday, and much of this morning trying to analyze this.
My conclusion was that Hubble might have spotted the "blink". (≈10% chance)
ps. Talk about a maths problem from hell...
pps. This assumes of course, that I interpreted everything* correctly, which I have a confidence level of about zero, so my conclusion may be off by a factor of "
A LOT!".
ppps. I think my "always suspicious maths" was spot on, but there are so many unknown variables, that I would advise everyone to just ignore this post.*:
1. Light gathering power: Hubble is apparently 120,000 times better than we are (7mm vs 2.4 m) [ref: googled it]
2. Hubble faint object camera: Can amplify light by 100,000. [
ref]
Multiplied together, gives 12 billion, which was at least 1 order of magnitude too small to see "the blink". (this was best case.)
3. Another bazzilion assumptions.