Statistics help. How to find probability?

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  • Thread starter Thread starter cruisx
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    Probability Statistics
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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around calculating the probability that at least 10 out of 11 new Canadians can swim, based on given swimming rates. Participants explore the application of the binomial probability formula in this context.

Discussion Character

  • Mathematical reasoning

Main Points Raised

  • One participant expresses confusion about how to approach the problem and questions the use of percentages.
  • Another participant suggests using the binomial formula to find the probability.
  • A third participant attempts to clarify the formula, indicating the use of combinations and probabilities for specific outcomes.
  • Further clarification is provided that "at least 10" means calculating the probabilities for both 10 and 11 swimmers.
  • Participants discuss the specific calculations involved in applying the binomial formula, including the correct interpretation of the terms.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

There is no consensus on the approach to the problem, as participants are still discussing the correct application of the binomial formula and the calculations involved.

Contextual Notes

Some participants express uncertainty about the correct interpretation of the problem and the calculations, indicating potential misunderstandings of the binomial distribution.

cruisx
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hey so i am trying to solve the following question but i have no idea how to solve it. I am confused by the %'sConsider a similar study done that shows that 96 % of those born in Canada can swim but only 83 % of new Canadians can swim. In a random group of 11 new Canadians, find the probability that at least 10 can swim.

The answer is 0.418933112054558

How is this answer obtained?
Now for at least, do i do p(10) + p(11), do i use a binomial formula or another one. I tried to do the mew = npq but that is not correct.
 
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Use the binomial formula.
 
THis one?

nCr pr qn-r

so

11C10 (0.83)^10 * (0.17)^1. Well its late, ill come back in the morning and try it again.
 
At least 10 means 10 or 11.

It is, as you said, p(10)+ p(11)=
_{11}C_{10}(.83)^{10}(.17)+ _{11}C_{11}(.83)^{11}= 11(.83)^{10}(.17)+ (.83)^{11}.
 

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