GeorgeDishman said:
On the contrary, all we ever observe is the past. If I stand 3m from someone, it takes light 10ns to travel from them to me so I see them as they were 10ns into the past.
mangaroosh said:
The point is that there isn't even a trace of "the past" or "the future"; there is nothing from which to infer it. We construct models of the future and have records of the past, but all that can be inferred is that the present moment is ever changing.
If we take time as some general attempt to measure change, then the problem seems to be that change has two contrasting sources. So the "present" becomes a mixed state.
One source of change is global constraint. That is the sum of everything that has gone before to create a history. And because it takes time - in a sub-relativistic world at least - for distant events to impinge on some particular locale, this history is always "just arriving". For a locale, some constraint - like perhaps the ripple of a gravity wave as mentioned - was not there a moment ago, but is changing things for that locale right now.
This is the kind of deterministic change modeled by Newtonian mechanics. The past is already coming at you, like a piano dropped off a high building above your head, but you just don't know it yet.
But there is also a second source of change, and that is local degrees of freedom. Whatever is not past-constrained is a source of future-oriented spontaneity. It is a potential waiting to be realized in some locally independent fashion.
Now mostly our large~cold universe seems to have very little spontaneity about it. It has so much past-history that the state of every locale is highly constrained, almost completely determined. The trajectory of particles is inertial, apparently tied to the track of its history and with no freedom to swerve or in any other way show accelerative change.
But QM shows that there still is some kind of actual local freedom, some indeterminacy that complicates any simple measure of change.
And for actually complex systems like humans, there is a lot of local freedom. We can look up and see the falling piano. Or for some other reason, just happen to step out of its path. The psychological notion of time thus emphasises the local freedom, the creative spontaneity, that comes with being able to anticipate - "look into the future" - and so respond according to imagined constraints rather than being just determined by past ones.
So time is our attempt to model/measure change. And the model we have constructed actually reflects a rather particular "time" in the universe's development - it is the view when things have become generally so expanded and cold that almost all the local spontaneity has been squeezed out of the picture, nearly everything is narrowly determined by a history of past constraint. A deterministic Newtonian model works because it covers 99.99...% of what is "happening". Back nearer the big bang of course, the spontaneity of fluctuations ruled.
Now a further feature of our modelling of time is that almost without comment, we take the sub-relativistic view as our natural baseline, as if a lack of change - being at rest - is the default state of things. But of course, it is the relativistic realm of the photon which is the real baseline state for the universe. When mass condensed out as the universe expanded~cooled, suddenly a new local freedom was created - the possibility to go slower, to lag behind. If we are talking about dimensions, this phase change added another general temporal dimension that had not existed previously.
So we have a general story that the notion of time is our attempt to create some general or universal measure of change. It would be conveniently simple if it were just a Newtonian dimension - a metric without any complex structure. If every locale marched in lockstep with no local degrees of freedom, just a single universal history in which not just past-constraint completely rules, but also all action is being measured from the most extreme case of "locales at rest", the farthest possible end of the non-relativistic case.
However, time does have this more complex structure. The balance between local freedom and global constraint changes simply because the universe cools and expands. The hot quantum possibilities get decohered, the universe becomes more classically past-determined. On top of this, there is the condensing out of mass that sets up a new dimension of change, the sub-light realm where it takes time for locales to learn about events (and so creates new local inertial degrees of freedom). On top of this again develops the kind of psychological degrees of freedom we have that come from being able to imagine our futures, and act on the resulting beliefs.
Presentism recognises that there is this intersection between global constraints and local freedoms. It divides them into a map of the past vs a map of the future. But then it also wants to universalise this story - to apply it everwhere to create a universal moment.
I think this can be done in reasonable fashion if anchored to a thermal notion of time (as being suggested by Carlo Rovelli, for instance). The temperature of the universe at some common "moment" does create an average benchmark of change (the relative remaining potential for change, as well as its direction).
But still, a lot of the nagging ontological questions being asked here appear to arise from wanting to have some overly simple model of time - collapsing its complex and processual structure to a single universal dimension.
Now it is quite possible that a more complex model of time is of no real practical use - physics could do without it. Yet I think as we come to understand the universe and the big bang in terms of entropy dissipation, and the fact that sub-relativistic mass is an emergent extra to the story, not a fundamental fact, then the modelling/measuring of time may indeed be in for a shake-up.
As well as Rovell's thermal time, there are other interesting stabs at the problem, like Stu Kauffman's notion of the adjacent possible - an edge of chaos type balancing act story where, as I argue, the present moment for any locale is a dynamic balance of past constraints and future freedoms.
The retrocausality implied by QM nonlocality also has to be fitted into the picture. The future seems to create its own past in some admittedly very slight degree.
Debates around the nature of time usually stick to Newtonianism vs relativity. But QM and thermodynamics are also ingredients in the story. Boil it all up and what is our overall model of change then?