Oochy said:
There. I know it's alot, but I have checked over it and found nothing wrong or incorrect as far as I can tell.
I do not mean to sound bellicose, Oochy. Really I don't. The problem is that pseudoscience like creationism and ID are the single greatest threat to scientific education in the US and the world to date. Evolution has been proven true over the past 150 years of study. If there were any doubt among scientists, creationism/ID might actually be given credence. It isn't. It hasn't been for decades.
Now... to the essay.
There is plenty wrong, first off.
Second, it is not a scientific study. It is a thought experiment, at best. Count how many times he states something without backing it up with numbers. I'm not calling out all of them.
Since random changes in ordered systems almost always will decrease the amount of order in those systems,
Where are the numbers to back up this statement?
what is "order"?
nearly all mutations are harmful to the organisms which experience them.
Where are the numbers to back up this statement?
Is a man with webbed toes suffering from a harmful mutation?
What about a man with excessive body hair?
An albino?
Are these mutations harmful?
How about a woman with 12 toes instead of 10?
What about a person with extremely long earlobes?
Harmful?
How about a tricky one: Sickle cell anemia.
Harmful? Sometimes...
Depends if malaria is prevalent in the region. If no, it's harmful (or at least painful). If yes, it's an advantage.
The problem with this argument, and honestly all creationist arguments about "most mutations are harmful" is that they think that the only mutations that are being considered are "extra leg growing out of the back" type mutations. They thoroughly ignore the little mutations which differentiate everyone and everything from others of the same species.
No one has ever actually observed a genuine mutation occurring in the natural environment which was beneficial (that is, adding useful genetic information to an existing genetic code), and therefore, retained by the selection process.
This is an utter, total, and complete boldfaced
LIE
Ever heard of anti-biotic resistant bacteria?
How about the strains of bacteria which can dissolve
Nylon; a substance which has only been around for 50 years or so.
Where do you think that new diseases come from? They mutate from existing strains, possibly strains that previously could only have attacked a type of animal.
Sure, the mutations may not be beneficial to us, but the bacteria? Goldmine.
Why does it seem like I'm only listing bacteria? Because we've only been looking for 150 years or so. Evolution is a sloooooow process. Bacteria have lifespans in the days. That way we can watch them changing in our lifetimes.
For example, consider a very simple putative organism composed of only 200 integrated and functioning parts, and the problem of deriving that organism by this type of process. The system presumably must have started with only one part and then gradually built itself up over many generations into its 200-part organization. The developing organism, at each successive stage, must itself be integrated and functioning in its environment in order to survive until the next stage. Each successive stage, of course, becomes statistically less likely than the preceding one, since it is far easier for a complex system to break down than to build itself up.
Where are the numbers to back up this statement?
At each successive stage it only needs to be good enough to survive. If it is marginally better than the previous iteration, it'll eventually dominate. According to research, we evolved and the Neanderthals did not because we were marginally better at obtaining food. We wandered away from "home base" to obtain food, especially seasonal food like salmon or berries. Neanderthals stayed near their caves and made due. It has been determined (and unfortunately, I cannot find a link to it) that a mere 2% advantage in birthrates would have caused us to completely dominate the niche we were competing for in a rediculously low number of years. 60K is what's coming to mind, but I am quite probably misremembering.
A four-component integrated system can more easily "mutate" (that is, somehow suddenly change) into a three-component system (or even a four-component non-functioning system) than into a five-component integrated system.
Numbers? Proof?
If, at any step in the chain, the system mutates "downward," then it is either destroyed altogether or else moves backward, in an evolutionary sense.
Numbers? Proof?
Therefore, the successful production of a 200-component functioning organism requires, at least, 200 successive, successful such "mutations," each of which is highly unlikely.
emphasis mine
Numbers? Proof?
Even evolutionists recognize that true mutations are very rare,
Uh? Lie.
and beneficial mutations are extremely rare—not more than one out of a thousand mutations are beneficial, at the very most.
Numbers? Proof?
(fabrications...)
But let us give the evolutionist the benefit of every consideration. Assume that, at each mutational step, there is equally as much chance for it to be good as bad. Thus, the probability for the success of each mutation is assumed to be one out of two, or one-half.
Numbers? Proof?
Why does it have to be either/or? The examples I've listed above are a short list of mutations which are present in our collective gene pool.
Elementary statistical theory shows that the probability of 200 successive mutations being successful is then (½)200, or one chance out of 1060. The number 1060, if written out, would be "one" followed by sixty "zeros." In other words, the chance that a 200-component organism could be formed by mutation and natural selection is less than one chance out of a trillion, trillion, trillion, trillion, trillion!
This is a gross oversimplification brought about by a complete lack of understanding of genetics. There is a change in the genetic code EVERY SINGLE TIME a new generation is born. If it's better than the rest, it continues. If it isn't, it dies out eventually. Doubt it? Look at children. Are they all exactly alike? Are some of them taller? Do some stand straighter? Can some run faster?
clip similar oversimplifications.
Look, it took less than 20,000 years of artificial selection to turn wolves into wienerdogs AND great danes. You are saying it is impossible for a wolf to turn naturally into ANYTHING without guidance in a million?
Speaking of that, take a look at the attachment. Can you honestly tell me you can't see a sequence there? Except for the first (modern chimp) and the last (modern human), you're looking, in chronological order, at 2.6My of human evolution. I'll guess that's somewhere near 100,000 generations.