What are the key elements of long probability questions?

  • Thread starter Thread starter sinni8
  • Start date Start date
  • Tags Tags
    Probability
AI Thread Summary
The discussion focuses on analyzing a quality control scenario involving 1000 items with a 2.5% defect rate. Key elements include calculating the expected value and standard deviation of defective items, identifying the probability distribution, and applying normal approximation techniques. Participants emphasize the importance of showing work to receive constructive feedback rather than seeking direct answers. Additionally, the conversation touches on confidence intervals and hypothesis testing related to defect proportions. The overall aim is to guide users in understanding and solving long probability questions effectively.
sinni8
Messages
3
Reaction score
0
In a series of N = 1000 items the quality control engineer
assumes the proportion pd = 2:5% of defective items.
(a) What is the expected value and the standard deviation of the number of
defective items?

(b) Assume that Nd is a number of defective items. What is the probability
distribution of Nd:?

(c) Write the normal approximation of the probability distribution of Nd:

(d) Approximate the probability of less than 15 defective items with the aid of
the normal approximation of the probability distribution of Nd: What is the
exact probability?

(e) Assume that he observed Nd = 15 defective items. What is the 95% confidence
interval for the proportion of defective items?

(f) With Nd = 40 test the hypothesis H0 : pd = 2:5% against the alternative
Hα : pd > 2:5%:

(g) Suppose he wishes to estimate the proportion of defective items with accuracy
0:5% with 99% confidence. How many items should be taken for test?
 
Physics news on Phys.org
Since you deal with percentages and successes, think about the binomial distribution.
What have you done towards answering these?
 
Perhaps you misunderstand the purpose of this forum. We are not going to answer questions for you. Show us what you have done so that we can see where you need help and offer suggestions.
 
I picked up this problem from the Schaum's series book titled "College Mathematics" by Ayres/Schmidt. It is a solved problem in the book. But what surprised me was that the solution to this problem was given in one line without any explanation. I could, therefore, not understand how the given one-line solution was reached. The one-line solution in the book says: The equation is ##x \cos{\omega} +y \sin{\omega} - 5 = 0##, ##\omega## being the parameter. From my side, the only thing I could...
Back
Top