Whalstib said:
Fra,
Sorry I got caught up in the rhetoric and didn’t reply directly to your thoughtful post. I see what you are saying and you put it most eloquently but are we at the point with the modeling where the change can be predicted to a greater or lesser degree? Is this the ultimate goal? Are we still dealing with rolls of the dice and only recognize that there will be change without fully comprehending the mechanisms?
I don’t mean to detract (see I feel I have apologize for asking a question! No where else in science!) but isn’t it rather hollow until concrete change can be used for the benefit? Perhaps that is where we are. I don’t know and am here to learn.
I think this is what bugs me about evolution is so simple but doesn’t on face value explain enough. I see it as just a jumping off point and in fact most of the advances go to more modern sciences.
No need to excuse yourself in any way.
I don't know you it's hard to see from which context your questions are fired so to speak. I can only guess.
But I think I see one of your concerns. You may wonder, what does evolution actually explain? You may ask, "ok we are the result of evolution" but so what? How does that help us here and now? What VALUE does this "insight" add?
There ARE good answers to that! But I'm not sure how to put it, to best convey it to you in a brief way.
Like in tried to say in my point, evolution is not just biological evolution. Evolution is much deeper and reflects all the way down to physical law.
Any discussion that focues only about evolution on earth, borderlining to almost religious discussions are missing a deeper point on evolution. Science itself is evolving, as it is a learning process. Life is very much similar.
As to what's the ultimate goal? That's up to say, what questions do You ask? Are the laws and rules of the world eternally true? Then one may ask, why exactly these laws?
Two nice quotes from Charles Sanders Peirce
"To suppose universal laws of nature capable of being apprehended by the mind and yet having no reason for their special forms, but standing inexplicable and irrational, is hardly a justifiable position. Uniformities are precisely the sort of facts that need to be accounted for."
"The only possible way of accounting for the laws of nature and for uniformity in general is to suppose them results of evolution. This supposes them not to be absolute, not to be obeyed precisely."
So except for the examples alread mentioned, what deeper does the evoluiontary insight add? and how does this improve our predictive capabilities of the future?
"On the reality of time and the evolution of laws"
http://pirsa.org/08100049
That is a philosophy of physics discussion but it's quite relevant to the questions you ask in a broader perspective.
The key predictive advantage is that once you understand that the other systems in your environment you are trying to predict, does EVOLVE in it's environment and that these systems are selected by their survival and reproduction skills, it's easier for you to predict these systems.
This is analogous to that it's easier to predict another human beeing, simply becase we understand how fellow humans think and feel. Predictions of human behavour from first principles are impossible due to previously mentioned reasons.
Science is an inference process; it's about learning. Learning to understand how other systems in our environment are behaving. But if the systems in our environment are ALSO merely trying to make inferences about their environment (including us) clearly we have here a situation where learning about how other systems act; is the same as learning about how learning works!
There are plenty of deep insights here... In some sense I think some of these things is what makes a different in intelligence between humans and some less clever animals. There are different levels of awareness and layers of reflections here.
Beeing able to "picture" how other individuals think and feel; and thus predict their behaviour to an extend otherwiser not possible - and thus increase your own advantage, is an insight to understanding that the behaviour of any system is adaptive and is evolving! This can be understood in terms of an abstract infernce or learning perspective. The genes, dna, and gene regulatory mechanism of molecular biology are just the concrete situation when it comes to life... but I see this as a special case of something even deeper.
Even the laws of physics can be seen as evolved. This has nothing to do with genes or Earth at all.
But still this is controversial and non any established consensus among physicists. The talk from Smoling just indicates a trend existing among some people. To take this idea to a concrete falsifiable predictive framework is still under construction. SMoling made some attempts with his CNS; but this is still far from the deepest realisation IMO.
I suspect this may not have been understandable though. that's what I meant with not knowing your background. It's easier to try to convey a possible answer if the reason for your question is known. I'm just guessing here...
/Fredrik