ParticleGrl
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Quant and ParticleGrl dominate every possible thread about the employment of physics that has ever been posted on this website.
I've only been posting here about 18 months, and I'm unlikely to be here in another year or so (or even another 6 months). Clearly, I'm not going to dominate 'every possible thread...that has ever been posted."
Just know that hearing about ParticleGrl's graduating class is in no way a representation of the entire field of physics, nor will it give you a good idea of what to look forward to in the future.
Do you have a phd in physics? Tell your story! Do you know phds who have had dramatically different tales than our? Get them on here! Also, look at threads where Davey Rocket posted- he tells a similar story. At least one poster in high energy experiment (Gbeagle, I think) has suggested a similar picture (all the HEP experimentalists he/she knows went into software development.)
I believe Locrian has a similar transition out-of-the-field background (condensed matter -> actuarial work, I think? Please correct me if I'm not remembering correctly).
I don't think anyone who has been involved in the phd process actually disputes the idea that most physics phds leave physics? (Except perhaps for twofish, who seems to think finance is physics). If someone does, speak up!
Basing your future, your approach to academia, and your career off of the same two people who frequently voice their opinion is not healthy, nor do I see the reasoning behind their doing so.
I want people to have the information I wished I had when I was deciding on my future path. If I knew then what I know now, and all that. I honestly think that sharing my story is a service because most of the physics phds who left the field aren't sharing their stories, and so students mainly get advice from the small minority who got academic positions.
And finally- no one should take my word for it, and they should be wary of statistics like "low unemployment rate." What generally matters to you, if you are getting a phd, is the out-of-the-field-rate, and that's harder to quantify. As DaveyRocket points out, the BLS numbers from this thread tell us that most physics phds can't be working as physicists.
Contact your physics department and find out if they maintain statistics on where graduates end up, talk to the older postdocs ask them what happened to their colleagues from graduate school, find out what happened to the students from your lab who graduated.
And also remember I'm not disputing the premise of the original poster- physics students DO get jobs, I've never been unemployed! HOWEVER, the reason people say the market is bad is that they look at the out-of-the-field rate instead of the unemployment rate (after grad school, I've never been employed doing physics)- its an important distinction that solves the paradox he/she posed.
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