Will a Satellite Crash into the Moon Tonight?

AI Thread Summary
A satellite is expected to crash into the Moon, with potential impact times narrowed down to either Saturday night at 8:30 PM or Sunday morning at 1:30 AM. The uncertainty in timing arises from the lack of precise targeting and an incomplete understanding of the Moon's terrain, which could affect the impact location. Observers are skeptical about visibility from amateur telescopes but are still interested in trying. There have been no recent updates on the impact or visibility since the event. The discussion highlights the excitement and uncertainty surrounding this lunar event.
DaveC426913
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Has anyone heard of this?

http://sci.esa.int/science-e/www/object/index.cfm?fobjectid=39937"
Jeez, I'm trying to decipher the website to figure out when to look.
 
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Astronomy news on Phys.org
Here is some additional information.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/space/20060831/sc_space/ spacecraft settosmackthemoonthisweekend
 
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And here, too;
http://space.com/scienceastronomy/060831_smart-1_crash.html

They say the impact will either be at about 8:30 saturday night, or 1:30 Sunday morning. The uncertainty is because it is not a precise, targetted crash. They have narrowed down the time of impact to one of two orbits. It will probably hit on Sunday morning, but it might hit on the orbit before that. The orbits take about 5 hours, so the two possible times of impact are 5 hrs apart.
 
I'd be awfully surprised if it would be visible from amateur telescopes, but I'd still try if it were clear here...
 
LURCH said:
The uncertainty is because it is not a precise, targetted crash.
More accurately, they don't have a thorough understanding of the terrain. If it encounters a hill on the first orbit then that'll be the orbit it impacts on.
 
Anybody heard anyhting since the big night? I've been looking and I can't find a reort on when it hit, or if anyone could see it.
 
Ah, closure. Thanks, J.
 
Some photo analysis:

http://www.cfht.hawaii.edu/News/Smart1/"
 
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