Hi Kerrie -
Kerrie said:
[...]As for your numbers, I see that is pure personal speculation unless you are citing a valid source?
They're commonly available from quick googling, have been repeatedly cited by proponent legislators so I take them as public knowledge. Anyway:
http://dpc.senate.gov/healthreformbill/healthbill95.pdf"
Democratic Summary said:
The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has determined that the two bills [...] ensure that more than 94 percent of Americans have access to quality, affordable health insurance
Breakdown of the 47 million uninsured figure you cited is
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/11/04/b...773f35bd&ei=5090&partner=rssuserland&emc=rss" (Statement 2) which pulls from the Census:
o 10 million not US citizens, many illegal
o 18 million have household income over $50k (i.e. 6% of the population)
o 1/4 have been offered employer-provided insurance but declined it.
Kerrie said:
Isn't the health mandate intended to require everyone have insurance, with subsidies to those who cannot afford current rates? Therefore, if more are required to pay it, your premiums have a higher likelihood of not rising as quickly?
Yes everyone has a mandate to buy if they can afford it. Yes some more will get subsidies. But also, as I'm sure you've heard, the insurance companies will no longer be able to reject anyone with expensive pre-existing and chronic conditions - they have to suck all those people up into the system, paid for by the premiums of others. The CBO balanced those - the new payers vs the new chronic/pre-existing - and given the rules levied on the CBO they found on average that premiums would fall ~1%. That has not been the reality in Mass.
Kerrie said:
[...]And the bill specifically states that those who already have coverage will not have to change anything about their current plan, doesn't it?
The President has promised that several times. My read is he's wrong. You'll have coverage, but not necessarily the same. As the bill summaries above will show you, or some of the fact checker sites, the bill creates health insurance 'exchanges', which offer only 'Qualified Plans' specified by the government. For the moment everyone can keep their employer plans, but eventually all health insurance companies will be prohibited from offering anything but those plans on the exchanges.
Kerrie said:
As for the actual health care quality we receive, do you speculate this quality will come down with the standard of living we demand in our country even with health insurance coverage as a requirement?
I don't know. I have spent a lot of time looking at the quality issue, and I'm absolutely convinced that the US medical system on the whole produces the best or close to the best medical outcomes in the world, along with the highest costs per person. My speculation is that in moving closer to some of the European centrally controlled models either the costs will escalate, or the quality will decrease.
Here's what I think should have been done instead.
http://www.roadmap.republicans.budget.house.gov/Issues/Issue/?IssueID=8516