Probability two people wear the same shirt

  • Thread starter Thread starter Guy Incognito
  • Start date Start date
  • Tags Tags
    Probability
AI Thread Summary
The discussion revolves around the probability of two people wearing the same shirt, comparing it to the birthday problem. Unlike the birthday problem, where everyone selects from the same set of 365 days, shirt choices come from different personal collections, complicating the probability calculation. The initial poster suggests that without knowing individuals' shirt ownership, the problem resembles the birthday problem. A participant agrees but notes that specific information about shirt ownership is usually lacking for accurate analysis. The conversation highlights the complexities of probability when dealing with unique personal items.
Guy Incognito
Messages
4
Reaction score
0
So a couple days ago three people all showed up to work wearing the same shirt. At first I thought this was just like the birthday problem, the probability at least 2 people in a room have the same birthday, but when I think more about it I think it's different. In the birthday problem, everyone chooses a birthday from the same 365 days. They all have the same sample space.

In this shirt problem, let A=all the shirts that exist, B=the shirts person 1 owns, and C=the shirts person 2 owns. B and C will be subsets of A, but they may or may not be disjoint from each other. So when person 1 and 2 get up in the morning, they are likely sampling from different sample spaces.

Does what I say make sense? So how would you find the probability at least two people show up with the same shirt?
 
Physics news on Phys.org
Guy Incognito said:
Does what I say make sense? So how would you find the probability at least two people show up with the same shirt?

Sure it makes sense. Usually you don't have nearly enough information to analyze it like that, though -- unless you know what shirts everyone owns. Unless you do I'd treat it like a variant on the birthday problem just as you said.
 
I was surprised in the washer repair business, how a certain part like a switch would hardly ever go bad; but sometimes when it did, we would get two or three such cases at the same time. Must have had something to do with the weather?
 
I was reading documentation about the soundness and completeness of logic formal systems. Consider the following $$\vdash_S \phi$$ where ##S## is the proof-system making part the formal system and ##\phi## is a wff (well formed formula) of the formal language. Note the blank on left of the turnstile symbol ##\vdash_S##, as far as I can tell it actually represents the empty set. So what does it mean ? I guess it actually means ##\phi## is a theorem of the formal system, i.e. there is a...
Back
Top