What causes the Pacific decadal oscillation?

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The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) is characterized by long-term temperature fluctuations in the North Pacific Ocean, typically lasting around 20 years, and is distinct from the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which operates on a shorter cycle of 6 to 18 months. The exact causes of the PDO remain unknown, but it is observed that the warm phase of the PDO may increase the likelihood of El Niño events, while the cool phase may favor La Niña events. Historical patterns indicate that since the late 1970s, the PDO has been associated with a predominance of El Niño events and warmer temperatures, contrasting with earlier periods that experienced cooler temperatures and more frequent La Niña events. Some climatologists suggest that the current La Niña phase could signal the onset of a cooler temperature trend.
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What causes the Pacific decadal oscillation in which a large part of the pacific ocean gets hotter than normal - this effect superimposes itself on El Nino.Is the pacific decadal oscillation linked to El Nino - does one cause the other?
 
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pitot-tube said:
What causes the Pacific decadal oscillation in which a large part of the pacific ocean gets hotter than normal - this effect superimposes itself on El Nino.Is the pacific decadal oscillation linked to El Nino - does one cause the other?

At this point the cause is unknown. The terms tends to be used for the North Pacific with the El Nino Southern Oscillation being used for the South Pacific. The PDO is a longer (possibly 20 years) cycle than the ENSO (6 to 18 months) but the ENSO can have periods in which either El Nino (warmer water) or la Nina (cooler water). Both cycles were noticed by fishermen before oceanographers or climatologists took notice.

The warm cycle of the PDO may tend to favor El Nino events with the cool cycle favoring la Nina events. There is a good correlation between these cycles and air temperatures.
http://icecap.us/images/uploads/THE_GREAT_PACIFIC_CLIMATE_SHIFT_II.pdf

the period since the late 70's has been dominated by El Nino events and warmer temperatures. the previous period with la Nina events was cooler. Some climatologists speculate that the current la Nina may indicate the beginning of a period of cooler temperatures.
 
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