Having watched it now, I was as unimpressed as I expected. I watched it while on my exercise bike so I could be sure I wouldn't waste my time. It's just the typical mixture of contradiction, misrepresentation and shortsighted wishful thinking from an anti-war activist. The existence of the speech of course directly contradicts its own premise that people don't criticize those wars, but a deeper contradiction lies in his criticism that wars are fought based on imagining a favorable outcome that may not happen with war or could happen without war. That's true, but his argument is exactly the same, from the opposite direction: imagining, in hindsight, a favorable outcome that could have happened without war.
For misrepresentation, how about his treatment of the Korean war? It didn't have a good outcome because S. Korea was still a dictatorship after the war? I have a hard time accepting that he believes his own argument given the stark disparity in living conditions between the two Koreas today. Note: it is estimated that 3.5 million people died of starvation in N. Korea in the 1990s (from the wiki).
cobalt124 said:
I've just read the transcript. He just seems to be saying wars are messy, and are not fought for the reasons stated.
I'm pretty sure besides the thesis in his title, the main thesis is that just having a just cause doesn't necessarily make for a just war because the favorable outcome that you hope for may not happen or could have happened without war.
While the second part is true and trivially obvious - you don't know for sure what is going to happen until it has happened - it doesn't have an ethical component to it so it really doesn't say anything about whether a war is just. A war doesn't have to be in hindsight the best course of action in order to be just.
I'd agree with him on the first two, in that both could have been met without a war, thankfully he doesn't even ask the question about WWII. IMO that was a just war, it could only not be seen as so from an American-centric perspective, and even then that can't be an easy case to answer. There was a bit more to it than the "end of fascism in Europe".
Actually, he did talk about WWII, 2/3 of the way through or so. What he said strongly implied to me that Hitler could have been defeated without...something...I don't even know what, since Hitler rolling tanks across Europe kinda took the decision out of anyone else's hands.