Probability Problem (maybe on Negative Binomial Distribution)

AI Thread Summary
The discussion revolves around a probability problem involving a salesperson at an automobile dealership who aims to sell three cars, with a 10% success rate per hour. The calculation for the probability of selling the last car at the 8th hour is detailed, yielding a result of 0.0124. For the second part, the probability of working more than 8 hours, calculated as the likelihood of selling fewer than three cars in that timeframe, totals 0.962. The calculations utilize combinations and the negative binomial distribution framework. Overall, the process appears correct, and the values seem reasonable within the context of the problem.
Debdut
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The following problem is from "Probability and Statistics in Engineering - Hines, Montgomery"

A potential customer enters an automobile dealership every hour. The probability of a salesperson concluding a transaction is 0.10. She is determined to keep working until she has sold three cars. What is the probability that she will have to work exactly 8 hours? More than 8 hours?

Soln: I have done it. Don't know whether the process is correct. Also I think the answer is low in value. Want to get your opinion.

She will have to work exactly 8 hours means - She will sell the last car at 8th hour and stop working.

The probability of selling a car at 8th hour (any hour) = 0.1. Thus we have got the last hour calculated.
We have the preceding 7 hours. Two cars will be sold at any two of the 7 hours and for remaining 5 hours no car will be sold.
Probability of that = 7C2 . (0.1)2 . (0.9)5 = 0.124
Total Probability = 0.124 . 0.1 (for last hour) = 0.0124

I am trying the 2nd part.
 
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OK, here's the 2nd part -

P(working more than 8 hours) = P(selling less than 3 cars in 8 hours)
= P(selling 0 car in 8 hours) + P(selling 1 car in 8 hours) + P(selling 2 cars in 8 hours)
= 8C0 . (0.1)0 . (0.9)8 + 8C1 . (0.1)1 . (0.9)7 + 8C2 . (0.1)2 . (0.9)6
= 0.962
 
It all looks right to me.
 
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