Dear stevendaryl and PeterDonis: thanks for your replies.
The farm analogy was intended to clarify my position re the foundations of Bell's theorem via a secretly controllable [by me, thus a hidden-variable to others] underground water supply; it was not intended to be a substitute for the specified quantum experiment.
It was also intended to help me correct any wrong ideas of mine. The idea being that I had only to assume
pairwise correlation [of two spacelike separated locally causal factors] to conclude that Bell's analysis must lead to difficulties and dilemmas: the analogy being that the particles that Bell deals with are also randomly pairwise correlated [like the water supply -- analogously]!
I now see that my farming analogy is not working because it cannot reflect my position clearly. So, for easier comparison with (Bertlmann's term) "Bell's Locality Hypothesis": I'll rephrase my position in the context of Aspect's (2004) experiment [denoted by ##α##]
https://arxiv.org/pdf/quant-ph/0402001v1.pdf using Bell (1964)
http://cds.cern.ch/record/111654/files/vol1p195-200_001.pdf
I begin with a complete specification of "Bell's Locality Hypothesis":
##P(A_iB_i|αa_ib_iλ_i)=P(A_i|αa_iλ_i)P(B_i|αb_iλ_i);## [?]
##A_i = ±1 = A^±## = Alice's possible outcomes when her detector is set to ##a_i## in the i-th run of experiment ##α##.
##B_i = ±1 = B^±## = Bob's possible outcomes when his detector is set to ##b_i## in the i-th run of experiment ##α##.
##λ_i## = a parameter (independent of ##a## and ##b##) in the i-th run that determines the result of the individual outcomes ##A_i## and ##B_i## per Bell (1964:195).
##i = 1, 2, …, n## where ##n## is enough to deliver adequate accuracy.
##α## = the experiment in Aspect (2004).
[?] = my identification of "Bell's Locality Hypothesis" in the same way that I would question a possible error in correspondence. Here's why:
Since [?] contains ##λ_i## in each term,
logic tells me that ##A_i## and ##B_i## may be correlated. To allow for that possibility, I am forced (by this incomplete information and logic) to rewrite [?] using the standard product rule for probabilities (to encode my incomplete information):
##P(A_iB_i|αa_ib_iλ_i)=P(A_i|αa_iλ_i)P(B_i|αa_ib_iλ_iA_i)##. (1)
Note that (1) is a consequence of logical implication; not of remote AAD/spooky causation. Logic then allows me to simplify (1) as follows: I will hold the detector settings constant in a given run, so ##a_i## = ##a##, ##b_i## = ##b##. Further, since I have no knowledge of ##λ_i##, I am forced (by logic and this incomplete information) to allow ##λ_i## to be ##λ##, a pairwise-correlated random variable (RV). Thus, from (1):
##P(A_iB_i|αabλ)=P(A_i|αaλ)P(B_i|αabλA_i)##. (2)
Then, focussing on one pair of outcomes, ##A^+## and ##B^+##, I have from (2):
##P(A^+B^+|αabλ)=P(A^+|αaλ)P(B^+|αabλA^+)##. (3)
Thus, under ##α##, Bell's [?] can be written as:
##P(A^+B^+|αabλ) = P(A^+|αaλ)P(B^+|αbλ).## [??]
Then, under (3), observing ##α##, I see that my RV assumption and my correlation assumption are confirmed:
##P(A^+|αaλ) = P(B^+|αbλ) = \frac{1}{2}.## (4)
##P(A^+B^+|αabλ) = P(A^+|αaλ)P(B^+|αabλA^+) = \frac{1}{2}cos^2(a,b).## (5)
I also see [??] disconfirmed:
##P(A^+B^+|αabλ) = P(A^+|αaλ)P(B^+|αbλ) = \frac{1}{4} \neq \frac{1}{2}cos^2(a,b).## [?]
Since the above analysis has been in my head since I first read of Bell's theorem (BT), I'd welcome the identification of any errors. I've corresponded with many working physicists who seem to dismiss BT similarly.
PS: I believe Feynman may have had a similar objection? And Peres said that BT is no part of QM. But I understand that John Clauser, the first to begin experimental testing of BT, expected BT to hold!
Thanks, N88