Betting on a Record Cold Winter: What's the Forecast?

[wolram]

The british press are forcasting a record cold winter, and a major betting
company have slashed the odds for this. what are they basing their predictions
on ?

 

[Tide]

I have no idea but I just read a prediction that winter in the U.S. will be mild. (http://www.heraldnet.com/stories/05/10/13/100wir_weather001.cfm )

Of course, we can always turn to the Old Farmer's Almanac! :)

 

[matthyaouw]

I don't know, but the same was forecast last year, and that didn't really pan out.

Edit- Are you sure you're looking at up to date articles? I did a quick google search, and the only articles I saw were from this time last year. The articles say the forecasts were made by metcheck.com, and the met office didn't hold a lot faith in their predictions, saying that such long range forecasts are exremely inaccurate (as proved by the mild and largely snowless winter that followed).

 

[wolram]

I don't know, but the same was forecast last year, and that didn't really pan out.
Edit- Are you sure you're looking at up to date articles? I did a quick google search, and the only articles I saw were from this time last year. The articles say the forecasts were made by metcheck.com, and the met office didn't hold a lot faith in their predictions, saying that such long range forecasts are exremely inaccurate (as proved by the mild and largely snowless winter that followed).

Yes i have the right date, it is mostly about energy shotage, and power cuts,
and how ladbrooks have slashed the odds for a record breaking winter.
an article in the daily express.

 

[wolram]

Another source.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/3738824.stm

 

[matthyaouw]

Another source.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/3738824.stm

"Last Updated: Wednesday, 13 October, 2004, 16:33 GMT 17:33 UK "

I'll keep a lookout for any recent articles. I looked on metcheck's website, and couldn't see any really long range forcasts, never mind info on how they do them.

 

[wolram]

"Last Updated: Wednesday, 13 October, 2004, 16:33 GMT 17:33 UK "
I'll keep a lookout for any recent articles. I looked on metcheck's website, and couldn't see any really long range forcasts, never mind info on how they do them.

OOps, the news paper article is 2005 though.

 

[matthyaouw]

I just caught the story on the news. It said they use the http://www.oceansatlas.org/servlet/CDSServlet?status=ND0xMjczNSZjdG5faW5mb192aWV3X3NpemU9Y3RuX2luZm9fdmlld19mdWxsJjY9ZW4mMzM9KiYzNz1rb3M~ for their long term forcasting, and with its behaviour this year, we could be in for a cold one.