gravenewworld said:
Does there exist such a thing as too much profit?
Yes if the result of so much wealth redistribution is that a significant part of the economy suffers for the benefit of a much smaller part. Both times that gasoline prices rapidly and greately increased in the USA, the USA auto industry suffered, and eventually the rest of the economy. This last time, we were already in a recession, the first time it started part of the recession process.
WheelsRCool said:
Every dollar the government spends first has to be taxed out of the economy, or borrowed from somewhere else. Government spending takes away capital that could better be spent in the private sector. I would say tax cuts give us a bigger bang for the buck (if they're the proper tax cuts). The problem is government can "create jobs" but it cannot create wealth which is what counts.
World War II is what pulled us out of the economy because of the massive military builup. This is also how Hitler instantly "fixed" the German economy from the depression.
So in the case of World War II, the massive military build-up is an example of government created jobs that worked very well, and continued on into a relatively prosperous era through the 1950's when the middle income class, suburbs, and a transition from a rural economy to a urban economy. The issue here is that money, like anything, has a perceived value, and generally, gun based economies work better than gold based ones.
consumer economy, perceived value
This is the real problem in my opinion. Only a fraction of the USA workforce is required to provide the basic essentials, food, clothing, shelter, energy, government, and education. Most people in the USA have jobs that involve non-essentital consumer related goods or services. Credit debt is also used to increase the supply of money being spent on all goods or services. This drives up the perceived value of goods and services.
One example of how credit effected the economy was a law passed back in 1974 that allowed the income of both married people to be used to qualify for a loan. The result was that home builders simply raised prices to take advantage of this, a case of wealth distribution from the many to the few. Prior to this, a typical family could own a modest home, a car, and a TV off the income of one person. Now in the USA, this situation is a relative rarity, most moms are working moms, leaving the kids to be raised by day care or glorified maids.
The other issue is that a consumer economy is based on perceived value. Anything that changes the behavior of a significant number of consumers can have great consequences, both good and bad. This was big part of the USA 1950's culture, sort of the beginning of consumerism. First dad bought a car because the family bought a home in a suburb, with an infrastructure based on car ownership. Then car companies convinced the public that mom should have a car also while dad was away at work. Back then the relative pricing was such that a single income was enough to pay for all of this. As other consumer goods and services came into existence, the economy continued to grow, sort of a self-fufilling prophecy. At the same time, anything that would cause consumers to stop spending could send such an economy into a downwards spiral. During Nixon's era, the government stopped spending money on general scientific research, with the greatest impact on aerospace companies. The so called multiplier effect was evident even back then.
As previously mentioned, when gas companies quickly and greatly raised prices in the 1970's, there was less money to spend on consumer goods overall. The USA auto industry was hurt the most, as until then, USA consumers were happy with their perceived value of their land barges called cars. Initially the Japanese imports were bought because of the better gas milage, but then consumers found out that maintenance on these cars were much less than USA cars. In hindsight back in the late 1970's the gas company executive stated that they underestimated their impact on the overall economy caused by the sudden price increases. The guy running Texaco at the time (I don't remember his name) was the most forth coming about this assessment of the impact on the economy.
However we never seem to learn. Gas guzzing SUV's and pickup trucks increased in perceived value and became the cash cows of automakers both USA and "foreign". The USA corportations (the big 3) were more dependent on this, because their market share of the econobox segment was small, mostly due to perceived value. In a repeat of the 1970's, but with worse consequences was the sudden jump in gas prices, and the sudden decline in perceived value of the SUV's and pickups. Consumers are a bit smarter now though, even though gas prices are now back below $2 per gallon in the USA, the perceived value of SUV's and trucks remains low.
On top of this, the constant negative news about the financial industry has crept into the mindset of USA consumers. Even though most consumers aren't immediately affected, the decrease in value of retirement funds has had a large effect, and USA consumers have simply reduced spending, which is having the expected negative multiplier impact on the consumer based economy. The recovery will take very long now, because the perceived value of consumer goods has undergone a significant change during this recession as the mindset of the general USA public has changed.
I'm not sure that there is any good way to fix a consumer based economy. To me all the non-essential stuff is simply play money with perceived but no intrinsic value. How do you distribute wealth when only a small fraction of the population is required to provide the basic essentials? For all the non-essential stuff, how do you control their perceived value? How many jobs, if any, should the government create, other than police, military, and governing? Should government fund research projects at universities? Should government fund space projects, environmental projects? Where do you draw the line?