Complicated probability question with urns and balls

AI Thread Summary
The discussion centers on calculating the probability that Joe and Mary draw the same number of red balls from their respective urns containing red and green balls. The probability of this event, denoted as P(E), is expressed as the product of the probabilities of Joe and Mary each drawing i red balls. The hypergeometric distribution is referenced as a method to compute these probabilities, specifically using the formula for drawing i red balls from n total red and green balls. Participants confirm the correctness of the formulas used for both Joe and Mary’s draws. The conversation concludes with agreement on the calculations needed to determine the overall probability.
zeion
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Homework Statement



Suppose that Joe draws k balls from and urn containing n red balls and n green balls, without replacing the balls after they are drawn. Similarly, Mary draws k balls from an urn containing m red balls and m green balls, without replacing the balls after they are drawn. We want to computer the probability that Joe and Mary will draw the same number of red balls.

Homework Equations





The Attempt at a Solution



Let E be the event that J and M draw the same number of red balls.
So P(E) = P(J draws i red balls and M draws i red balls)
= P(J draws i red balls) P(M draws i red balls)

I don't know how to write P(J draws i red balls)
 
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zeion said:

Homework Statement



Suppose that Joe draws k balls from and urn containing n red balls and n green balls, without replacing the balls after they are drawn. Similarly, Mary draws k balls from an urn containing m red balls and m green balls, without replacing the balls after they are drawn. We want to computer the probability that Joe and Mary will draw the same number of red balls.

Homework Equations





The Attempt at a Solution



Let E be the event that J and M draw the same number of red balls.
So P(E) = P(J draws i red balls and M draws i red balls)
= P(J draws i red balls) P(M draws i red balls)

I don't know how to write P(J draws i red balls)

Look up the hypergeometric distribution. See, eg.,
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypergeometric_distribution or
http://stattrek.com/lesson2/hypergeometric.aspx .

RGV
 
the chance that J will draw i red ball is

(n choose i) * (n choose k - i) / (2n choose k)

is that right
 
zeion said:
the chance that J will draw i red ball is

(n choose i) * (n choose k - i) / (2n choose k)

is that right

Yes.

RGV
 
so J and M both draw i balls is

[(n choose i) * (n choose k - i) / (2n choose k)] * [(m choose i) * (m choose k - i) / (2m choose k)]

right
 
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