What is Conditional Probability and its Properties?

In summary, the conversation discusses the definition of conditional probability and its properties. This includes the formula for calculating conditional probability, as well as three main properties: P(S|F) = P(F|F) = 1, P((A∪B)|F) = P(A|F) + P(B|F) - P((A∩B)|F), and P(E'|F) = 1 - P(E|F). It is also mentioned that a Venn diagram can be used to visualize these properties.
  • #1
CaptainX
7
0
TL;DR Summary
1. Definition
2. Properties of conditional probability
1. Definition
If E and F are two events associated with the same sample space of a random experment, the conditional probability of the event E given that F has occurred, i.e. P(E|F) is given by
P(E|F) = (E∩F)/P(F) (P≠0)

2. Properties of conditional probability
Let E and F be events of sample space S of an experiment, then we have

2.1 Property 1
P(S|F) = P(F|F) = 1
we know that
P(S|F) = P(S∩F)/P(F) = P(F)/P(F) =1
similiarly, P(F|F)= 1
P(F|F) = P(S|F) = 1

2.2 Property 2
If A and B are any two events of a sample space S and F is an event of S s.t. P(F) ≠ 0, then
P((A∪B)|F) = P(A|F) + P(B|F) -P((A∩B)|F)
In particular, if A and B are disjoint events, then
P((A∪B)|F)=P(A|F)+P(B|F)

2.3 Property 3
P(E'|F) = 1 - P(E|F)
Since S=E∪E' and E and E' are disjoint events.
 
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  • #2
What is the question?
 
  • #3
How to prove P(A∪B)=P(A∩B)+P(A∩B')+P(A'∩B)
 
  • #4
CaptainX said:
How to prove P(A∪B)=P(A∩B)+P(A∩B')+P(A'∩B)
Try to draw a Venn diagram.
 
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Likes Klystron and PeroK

What is conditional probability?

Conditional probability is a mathematical concept that measures the likelihood of an event occurring given that another event has already occurred. It is denoted as P(A|B), where A is the event of interest and B is the condition or event that has already occurred.

How is conditional probability calculated?

Conditional probability is calculated by dividing the probability of the joint occurrence of both events (P(A ∩ B)) by the probability of the condition or event that has already occurred (P(B)). This can be expressed as P(A|B) = P(A ∩ B) / P(B).

What is the difference between conditional and unconditional probability?

Conditional probability takes into account the occurrence of a specific condition or event, while unconditional probability does not consider any conditions. In other words, conditional probability is calculated based on a subset of the total possible outcomes, while unconditional probability considers all possible outcomes.

How is conditional probability used in real life?

Conditional probability is used in various fields such as statistics, economics, and machine learning to make predictions and decisions based on available information. It is also commonly used in risk assessment and insurance calculations.

Can conditional probability be greater than 1?

No, conditional probability cannot be greater than 1. This is because the probability of an event occurring cannot exceed the total possible outcomes. However, the joint probability of two events occurring together can be greater than 1, but when divided by the probability of the condition, it will always result in a value between 0 and 1.

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