NYSportsguy said:
Marcus -
First of all I apologize for my error in saying amongst most theoretical physicists today.
...
Big ups to Leaonard Susskind and Lisa Randall for opening me up to these ideas.
NYSport,
no need to apologize! I just meant to point out that there is a disconnect between the real research literature---stuff published and cited in peer-review professional journals, and what you get in New Scientist and in pop-sci mass market books.
Huge difference. Can't take NewSci seriously, if they give you the impression of a consensus amongst some professional group. Lot of ga-ga stuff in NewSci.
In the case of Susskind and Randall,
1. they are just 2 scientists out of many hundreds that sometimes do cosmology. not representative of community of working cosmologists (really in other specialties, string, braneworld models)
2. watch what they do, not what they say
3. both Susskind and Randall have authored popularization books. they naturally talk up the stuff they present in their books.
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Susskind wrote a pop-sci book called Cosmic Landscape. It came out in 2005 and he talked it up a lot on the media. It didn't sell well. Now three years later, he has just brought out A DIFFERENT popularization book that has
nothing about multiverse or Landscape. It hits the market July 2008.
When they had that informal show of hands at Strings 05 in Toronto it was a room full of about 400-some string theorists. They voted over 3 to 1 against Susskind's pet idea of the anthropic string theory Landscape. Of course science is not a democracy and Susskind has support money and visibility and tenure at Stanford. He is prominent and carries a lot of weight. But you can't say he represents a majority or a consensus.
Science in the media is to some extent personality-driven. It is different from actual science.
Neither Susskind nor Randall got invited to give talks at the main annual string meeting, Strings 2008.
whereas they were very big in past years. Indeed in 2005, in Toronto, Susskind gave one of the two public lectures in the big auditorium. The other big talk was given by Robbert Dijkgraaf. Multiverse and Landscape were very big that year.
Now there is a quiet unpublicized reaction against that stuff. Coupled with a cutback in faculty jobs for string theorists in the US.
Basically Susskind, a smart guy, is changing his message and how he presents himself. He recently said he doesn't like to be labeled as a string theorist. He has other research interests, other directions, he points out. And he has stopped promoting the Landscape so vociferously as he was back in 2003-2005. His new book is about something else. He is presenting a new face.
Maybe in 2009 he will be invited to give a talk at Strings 09----and if so it will probably not be about Multiverses or the landscape of possible string theories. We'll see. Nobody can predict the future course of fundamental physics research. We can bet, though. Would you like to bet? No money, just go on record with a prediction.
