PAllen said:
You don't have to wait for eternity. You just need to be able to calculate ultimate escape.
One can calculate the most fantastic things, that by itself doesn't make them physically plausible. What I mean is that not everything that can be calculated is physical, when those calculations are purely coordinate-dependent the result of the calculations is not physical according to our current understanding.
Only physical objects can be properly said to "form" in a causal way.
You keep saying the event horizon is acausal and yet in your examples you give a completely causal narrative about how and when it forms, that is because all physical observers are causal.
PAllen said:
The event horizon doesn't exist for a free falling observer. This is the same as a Rindler horizon - it only exists for accelerating observers, not for inertial observers. Inertial observers receive signals from the accelerating observer forever. Free falling observers receive signals from the outside until they hit the singularity. The black hole event horizon only exists for external observers (which have nonzero proper acceleration).
Only if we agree that event horizons are not physical objects at all, but simply coordinate-dependent mathematical boundaries, can we agree that they are acausal.
Do you agree that Rindler horizons are purely coordinate artifacts? And that coordinate effects are not necessarily physical (they are physical precisely when they are coordinate-invariant)? The classical example in two dimensions is the coordinate singularity at the poles of the sphere, it is removed by changing the coordinate chart, in the same way one can remove the Rindler horizon or the apparent singularity at the Schzwarzschild radius by simply changing the coordinates.
If you agree sofar you must agree that the event horizon is a purely coordinate-dependent mathematical entity, and it cannot be endowed with any physical property. If that is the case you cannot use it to derive any physical consequences for any observer (either external, infalling, static...), you just can mathematically calculate certain outcomes when certain coordinate charts are used.
So we need to have the real singularity at r=0 (the one that cannot be removed by changing charts), not just the event horizon, to derive physical consequences for particles that are at a certain distance r from the true singularity, depending on wheteher they are at one side or the other of said distance.
But then you cannot really say that you can have a black hole and/or an event horizon without a true singularity as you were suggesting. All the physical effects of event horizons on any observer are due to the singularity and its infinite curvature and don't exist if there is no true singularity at the center. All observable horizons(be it the sea horizon or the cosmological one) are due to curvature by the way, and don't imply that anything strange is going on at the physical region where we see the horizon.
Any EH needs to have a singularity inside, by definition.