How Does the Probability of Failure Change in Synchronous Machine Operations?

AI Thread Summary
In synchronous operations of two faulty machines, M1 and M2, the probability of failure for each machine is independent, with M1 failing at probability p1 and M2 at p2. The random variables X1 and X2 represent the number of runs until the first failure of M1 and M2, respectively, both following geometric distributions. The overall failure event, represented by X, also follows a geometric distribution with the parameter p1 + p2 - p1p2. To analyze this, one can evaluate the probability that neither machine fails after n runs. Understanding these distributions is crucial for assessing the reliability of parallel machine operations.
topgun08
Messages
15
Reaction score
0
Question:
Two faulty machines, M1 and M2, are repeatedly run synchronously in parallel (i.e., both machines execute
one run, then both execute a second run, and so on). On each run, M1 fails with probability p1 and M2 with
probability p2, all failure events being independent. Let the random variables X1, X2 denote the number of
runs until the first failure of M1, M2 respectively; thus X1, X2 have geometric distributions with parameters
p1, p2 respectively.
Let X denote the number of runs until the first failure of either machine. Show that X also has a geometric
distribution, with parameter p1 + p2 − p1p2

Attempt at an answer:
X1 has a geometric distribution of (1-p1)^i-1 * p1
X2 has a geometric distribution of (1-p2)^i-1 * p2

I'm confused an don't know how to proceed. Any help is appreciated.
 
Physics news on Phys.org
Since this problem doesn't have anything to do with "Number Theory", I have it from that category.
 
topgun08 said:
Question:
Two faulty machines, M1 and M2, are repeatedly run synchronously in parallel (i.e., both machines execute
one run, then both execute a second run, and so on). On each run, M1 fails with probability p1 and M2 with
probability p2, all failure events being independent. Let the random variables X1, X2 denote the number of
runs until the first failure of M1, M2 respectively; thus X1, X2 have geometric distributions with parameters
p1, p2 respectively.
Let X denote the number of runs until the first failure of either machine. Show that X also has a geometric
distribution, with parameter p1 + p2 − p1p2

Attempt at an answer:
X1 has a geometric distribution of (1-p1)^i-1 * p1
X2 has a geometric distribution of (1-p2)^i-1 * p2

I'm confused an don't know how to proceed. Any help is appreciated.

Look at the probability that neither M1 nor M2 has failed by n runs, for n = 1, 2, 3, ... .

RGV
 
Back
Top