Invest in Stock Market During Market Drop - Tips & Advice

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around strategies for investing in the stock market during a downturn, with participants sharing tips, personal experiences, and varying opinions on the timing and types of investments to consider. The scope includes theoretical insights, practical advice, and personal anecdotes related to stock market behavior and investment strategies.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Debate/contested
  • Technical explanation
  • Mathematical reasoning

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants suggest that it may not be the right time to invest yet, advocating for waiting until the market hits a bottom.
  • Others argue that sitting on the sidelines is preferable to trying to time the market, emphasizing the risks of investing during a downturn.
  • One participant advises investing only money that can be afforded to lose, promoting a cautious approach to stock market investments.
  • Several participants discuss the stability of necessity goods companies during economic downturns, suggesting they may be safer investments despite potentially lower profits.
  • Some participants express skepticism about investing in well-known companies like Google, citing their vulnerability during poor economic conditions.
  • A few humorous anecdotes are shared regarding the poor performance of certain stocks compared to alternative investments, such as beer and recycling.
  • There is mention of the potential for significant returns from high-risk investments, such as auto companies, but with the caveat that they could also lead to losses if bankruptcy occurs.
  • One participant suggests diversifying investments to mitigate risks associated with bankruptcy.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express a range of opinions on the timing and nature of investments, with no clear consensus on the best approach. Some advocate for caution and waiting, while others suggest taking risks for potential high returns. The discussion remains unresolved regarding the optimal strategy for investing during a market drop.

Contextual Notes

Participants highlight various assumptions about market behavior, the psychological impact of economic conditions on stock prices, and the importance of personal financial situations in investment decisions. There are also references to specific stock performance without detailed analysis, leaving some claims unverified.

Ghost803
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Well I figure since the market is going to hell and a lot of stock are dropping in price across the board, this would probably be a good time to invest. But i am a noob concerning the stock market and was wondering if anyone would care to share their knowledge/tips on how to take advantage of this situation.

The only idea I've had so far is that I'm thinking about buying some Google stocks if they drop a little bit lower.
 
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My [largely-uninformed] guess is that it's not quite time to buy just yet. But once the market hits bottom, there will be some huge opportunities.
 
Keep sitting on the sidelines, don't try to time the bottom. It's better to be a little late on the upside then to get tanked right away.
 
I'll keep that in mind and just wait till it really hits rock bottom.
 
One tip is to only invest money that you can really miss. That way you can just sit out the ride, or in the unfortunate event of bankruptcy you can say you tried but at least didn't loose all you got.
 
Take a look at how companies that produce supermarket goods have done the last week or so. A credit crisis can cause them operating problems, but won't decrease their sales that significantly (unless the operating problems are severe enough that they can't produce enough to meet demand, in which case grocery prices are going to go up).

Same thing with utility companies, etc; the things people have to buy no matter what.

If their drop has followed DJIA, it's mostly for psychological reasons.

On the other hand, a credit crisis can cripple home sales and auto sales. I wouldn't even look at auto companies for quite a while.
 
BobG said:
Take a look at how companies that produce supermarket goods have done the last week or so. A credit crisis can cause them operating problems, but won't decrease their sales that significantly (unless the operating problems are severe enough that they can't produce enough to meet demand, in which case grocery prices are going to go up).

Same thing with utility companies, etc; the things people have to buy no matter what.

Investing in necessity goods is safe but I don't think that will bring any big profits or will it?
 
BobG said:
Take a look at how companies that produce supermarket goods have done the last week or so.
Like Campbell Soups:

http://data.moneycentral.msn.com/scripts/chrtsrv.dll?symbol=CPB&E1=0&LPR=2&C1=0&C2=0&D5=0&D2=0&D4=1&DD=1&width=612&height=258&CA=1&CC=1&CE=0&CF=0

Chicken soup for the financial crisis.
 
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Gokul43201 said:
Like Campbell Soups:

http://data.moneycentral.msn.com/scripts/chrtsrv.dll?symbol=CPB&E1=0&LPR=2&C1=0&C2=0&D5=0&D2=0&D4=1&DD=1&width=612&height=258&CA=1&CC=1&CE=0&CF=0

Chicken soup for the financial crisis.

Who consumes Campbell soups for dinner?
Even my ramen noodles are better :smile:
 
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  • #10
It's Depression Era food, soup is. Same goes for soft boiled eggs and toast. I'll bet they'll be a lot of cheese get sold too. People are trying to economize.
 
  • #11
Stay out of the market if you're a newbie. And, for God's sake, don't buy poster-boy stocks like Google just because of the name! Google is an advertising company, and advertising companies sink like stones in poor economic times.

- Warren
 
  • #12
I just bought GM. Not the stock, the company. From now on it will be known as the Jimmy Motor Car Company. In order to satisfy conservatives, each car will come with a whip. And to satisfy liberals, it will come in any color you want as long as it's black.
 
  • #13
Buy old mobile homes already set up in mobile home parks. You can get them for $6,000 to $8,000 each. They rent for $400 to $500 per month.

If you don't mind being a bit of a slumlord and having to occasionally evict a drug addict, the return on investment is tremendous. :cool: And you can still work full time at Jimmy Motor Car Company.
 
  • #14
rootX said:
Investing in necessity goods is safe but I don't think that will bring any big profits or will it?

If you want big profits, you have to take big risks ... in which case the auto companies are good buys. They can't go any lower ... unless they declare bankruptcy.:rolleyes:

GM was at $43.20 on Oct 12, 2007. They're at $4.89 this week.
Ford was at $26.40 on Nov 18, 2005. They're at $2.17 this week.

If you were an employee at one of those companies and took advantage of their company savings plan (similar to a 401k, except you get GM stock or Ford stock instead of diversified investments), you'd be drunk right now.
 
  • #15
BobG said:
GM was at $43.20 on Oct 12, 2007. They're at $4.89 this week.
Ford was at $26.40 on Nov 18, 2005. They're at $2.17 this week.
Buy a thousand shares of each on sit on them for several years. Unless they declare bankruptcy - which is conceivable for both - they won't recover until they retool and realign their product lines, which will take about two years. Meanwhile - the Japanese car companies are ahead of the game with their hybrids and electric vehicles.

GE recovered nicely today - up 2.49 (13.10%) to 21.50.

JP Morgan Chase (JPM) - up 4.96 (13.52%) to 41.64

GS might be a good buy - but look at their balance sheet. They've lost quite a bit of value this week, and particularly today. But they are one of the best in their sector.
 
  • #16
As others have suggested, now is NOT a good time to invest. Prices are still dropping, and nobody knows yet how low they'll go. You'll never be able to time the rock bottom, but when stock prices start on the upswing again, there'll be plenty of time to buy while they're still low and starting to rise.

I still would suggest that even when stocks start to rise, if you're new to investing, start out small. Don't sink your life savings into investments. Think of it just like gambling at a casino...only spend what you can afford to lose. If you get lucky or get the knack of it quickly, you'll make some money and can keep reinvesting the profit. If you get unlucky or make bad choices initially, you won't lose money you needed to live on.
 
  • #17
Here's a funny email I just got this morning.

Subj: investing advice

Here is some wise investing advise!



If you had purchased $1,000 of shares in AIG one year ago, you will have


$33.00 today.





If you had purchased $1,000 of shares in Lehman Brothers one year ago,


you will have $0.00 today.





But, if you had purchased $1,000 worth of beer one year ago,


drank all the beer,


then turned in the aluminum cans for recycling refund,


you will have received $214.00.





Based on the above, the best current investment plan is to drink heavily & recycle.





It is called the 401-Keg.
 
  • #18
Also at the other side of the pond:
If you had purchased £1000 of Northern Rock shares one year ago they would now be worth £4.95; with HBOS, earlier this week your £1000 would have been worth £16.50; £1000 invested in XL Leisure would now be worth less than £5; but if you bought £1000 worth of Tennents Lager one year ago, drank it all, then took the empty cans to an aluminium re-cycling plant, you would get £214. So based on the above statistics the best current investment advice is to drink heavily and re-cycle. :wink:

(Crossed with Redbelly - Great minds think alike, fools seldom differ)

Garth
 
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  • #19
Monique said:
One tip is to only invest money that you can really miss. That way you can just sit out the ride, or in the unfortunate event of bankruptcy you can say you tried but at least didn't loose all you got.
My advice would be to diversify so that the risk of bankrupcy is essentially nonexistent. For a low risk, good (but not outstanding) return and no effort, you can't beat an S&P index fund.
 
  • #20
BobG said:
If you were an employee at one of those companies and took advantage of their company savings plan (similar to a 401k, except you get GM stock or Ford stock instead of diversified investments), you'd be drunk right now.

:smile:

I was wondering about technology sector for long run: companies that provide VOIP, internet security, ..etc.

And for short run, other than inferior goods I don't know which other companies will make big profits. Obviously, there are some people (companies) who would take advantage of the economic downturn.
 
  • #21
Consider the companies in which Warren Buffett invests.
 
  • #22
russ_watters said:
For a low risk, good (but not outstanding) return and no effort, you can't beat an S&P index fund.

And consider opening an IRA.

Also, if you don't make you're investment all at one time, you avoid the risk of buying at a time that the market is hitting a high. (Not too likely right now, but in general ...) Invest some of the money every month or couple of weeks. I think some IRA's can be set up for this to happen automatically.

Astronuc said:
Consider the companies in which Warren Buffett invests.

Yes, but do it before it becomes public knowledge what he has invested in. :wink:
 
  • #23
Redbelly98 said:
And consider opening an IRA.
My IRA is an S&P Index fund.
 
  • #24
russ_watters said:
My advice would be to diversify so that the risk of bankrupcy is essentially nonexistent.
What if the whole country goes bankrupt?
 
  • #25
Monique said:
What if the whole country goes bankrupt?
Well it has never happened before and I don't see how it is even possible in theory, but I guess if every single entity with money in the entire country went bankrupt simultaneously, you'd have bigger things to worry about than where your retirement savings went. Starvation would become a problem in relatively short order. But hey, at least there'd also be no one available to kick you out of your house/apartment for not paying your mortgage/rent.

Bankrupcy isn't what causes a stock to become worthless anyway. Bankrupcy happens when your ability to pay your bills is greater than the cash you have on hand to pay them. But for most businesses, that doesn't have a direct relationship to the value of the company -- except with financial companies. All financial companies do is move money around. The only real assets those companies have are the buildings they work in and confidence in the company is based on money, so when they go bankrupt, the company is ruined. When companies like Lehman folded, they were bought for basically the cost of their buildings and other asundry assets.

If a company like an airline or a car manufacturer goes bankrupt, they reorganize, shed some debt, and keep going. The stock gets hammered, but those companies rarely disappear/dissolve. They have a tangeable value even if they are not paying their bills. Causing a major airline to completely dissolve would essentially require all of its planes to crash at the same time, leaving them with nothing left to use to generate money. That's essentially what happened to these financial companies.
 
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  • #26
Ghost803 said:
Well I figure since the market is going to hell and a lot of stock are dropping in price across the board, this would probably be a good time to invest. But i am a noob concerning the stock market and was wondering if anyone would care to share their knowledge/tips on how to take advantage of this situation.

The only idea I've had so far is that I'm thinking about buying some Google stocks if they drop a little bit lower.

If you want investment advice, ask a rich person.

There is nothing more comical than watching poor people give financial advice.
 
  • #27
One thing I forgot to mention, though: the risk/reward calculus changes with the age of the investor. A 30 year-old isn't even allowed to touch his/er retirement savings for 35 years, so for them it is a no-brainer: all of their retirement savings should be in the stock market.

A 70 year-old uses their inestments as income so stability is much more important. There is a rule of thumb equation (that I don't know offhand) that relates your age to the disbursement of your retirement funds in stocks vs bonds (which are insured/guaranteed). Ie, the older you get, the more of your money should be in bonds instead of stocks.
 
  • #28
Ivan Seeking said:
If you want investment advice, ask a rich person.

There is nothing more comical than watching poor people give financial advice.
Wow, Ivan. That is such a simpleminded and useless thing to say. There are more than two types of people in the world (and I doubt anyone in here would qualify as "poor" anyway) and even still, a "rich" person doesn't necessarily know how to make their money on the stock market any more than a "poor" person. By this point, I'm sure Bill Gates knows a thing or two about investing, but he didn't get rich because he's a shrewd investor. Besids which, a "rich person's" goals are far different from a "poor person's" so you won't necessarily even get good answers from them. Ask Bill Gates what to do with $10,000 and he may just say to use it as a napkin.

If you don't have anything useful to contribute, don't post.
 
  • #29
I also find it strange advice. When they're honest I think a lot of the rich people will say that they got their money by being in the right place at the right time. Being rich doesn't mean you have all the knowledge.
 
  • #30
Monique said:
I also find it strange advice. When they're honest I think a lot of the rich people will say that they got their money by being in the right place at the right time. Being rich doesn't mean you have all the knowledge.

I agree, it seems like very strange advice. If they started out rich, they may know nothing about investing, but just know how to run Daddy's business. If they got rich through investing, then they started out poor, which means they had the knowledge when they were poor too. Likewise, someone poor could know a lot about investing, but not have the money to spare to do it. There were several times in my life that I saw stocks I'd have loved to invest in, but didn't have anything to spare to invest at the time. If you have a lot of money, you can afford to take higher risks too.

Of course, rich people who are about to become poor if their stocks and businesses tank would advise everyone to invest now to drive prices back up and keep themselves in business. Don't mistake that for good advice, it's purely selfish interests.
 

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