News Iraqi unrest, Syrian unrest, and ISIS/ISIL/Daesh

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The Iraqi government is facing imminent collapse under insurgent pressure, with ISIS reportedly taking control of Mosul. The U.S. has refused military aid to Iraq, primarily to avoid appearing to support Prime Minister al-Maliki, whose Shiite leadership could be seen as backing Iran. Concerns are rising that if insurgents gain control of Baghdad, it could lead to increased conflict with Iran. The Iraqi army, despite being well-trained and outnumbering ISIS, has shown reluctance to engage, leaving military equipment behind in their retreat. The situation is evolving into a civil war, raising fears of broader regional instability and the potential resurgence of terrorism globally.
  • #391
So if we had stayed in Iraq, everything would be fine? It seems somewhat pedantic to call this a new war.
 
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  • #392
The U.S. is currently flying air strikes in Syria. How is this not new?
 
  • #393
mheslep said:
The U.S. is currently flying air strikes in Syria. How is this not new?
It's whack-a-mole regardless of where the moles pop up, IMO.
 
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  • #394
mheslep said:
The U.S. is currently flying air strikes in Syria. How is this not new?
I think the point is that fighting ISIS/ISIL is an extension of the involvement in Iraq. As I recall, the US was not in combat in Syria, but only providing material support to the rebels. ISIS started in Iraq and migrated into Syria. Now the US is extending it's involvement to attacking ISIS in Syria and ostensibly Iraq.

lisab said:
It's whack-a-mole regardless of where the moles pop up, IMO.
Pretty much.
 
  • #395
lisab said:
It's whack-a-mole regardless of where the moles pop up, IMO.
That may be, but such is an argument about the wisdom of fighting there, not whether or not the US Constitution permits the President to do so.
 
  • #396
Astronuc said:
I think the point is that fighting ISIS/ISIL is an extension of the involvement in Iraq.

What are the limits of that "extension"? If the President is to refrain from displays of contempt for Article I of the Constitution, then he needs to demonstrate the limits of his actions. How do large, long term air attacks in countries other than Iraq, and after he removed all US combat troops from Iraq and declared the war there won, not indicate he is granting himself the power to attack anywhere using a similar rationalization.

The shared military command and power of war authorities spread among Articles I and II in the Constitution are very wise IMO, because in addition to enforcing the the rule of law, the approval by Congress forces opposing factions in the country to stop and debate the matter, finding common ground.
 
  • #397
Now comes objection from the Democratic side to Obama's three year war against IS.



Senator Kaine: 'Height of Public Immorality' for Obama to Wage War on ISIS Without Congress
 
  • #399
I saw this one a little late:
lisab said:
Perhaps that's because Japan and Germany were completely spent by that point. They were in no mood for any sort of fight.

US policy makers did not seem to understand the depth of the rift between Sunni and Shia.
The second answer informs on the first. The first answer implies that if we crush them enough they will want to stop fighting. Well their military certainly did. But that doesn't eliminate their hatred for each other and that is a totally different reason for the fighting they are doing now that has nothing to do with us. Germany and Japan had no such internal ideological rifts.

When you have an ideological rift, you always have a reason to fight. That's part of why the US Civil War was our bloodiest and in some ways took 100 years to recover from.
 
  • #400
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  • #401
Astronuc said:
Video: Islamic State group beheads US aid worker
http://news.yahoo.com/graphic-video-claims-us-aid-worker-beheaded-092630290.html

I guess this just confirms that ISIS is about brutal murder at the level of drug cartels. At least the drug cartels don't hide behind the facade of religion when they behead people.
 
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  • #402
nsaspook said:
I guess this just confirms that ISIS is about brutal murder at the level of drug cartels. At least the drug cartels don't hide behind the facade of religion when they behead people.
This is sick beyond comprehension.

I can't imagine that the decision to behead a muslim convert was a popular one among ISIS ranks. Could it be a sign they're running out of hostages?
 
  • #403
nsaspook said:
I guess this just confirms that ISIS is about brutal murder at the level of drug cartels. At least the drug cartels don't hide behind the facade of religion when they behead people.
I think a drug cartel analogy, i.e. money and business, is a mistake. There's no multi millionaire Pablo Escobar type characters running IS. A cult is a good fit, with a Jim Jones at the helm that worships death, wants everyone and everything to die in pursuit of ego.
 
  • #404
mheslep said:
I think a drug cartel analogy, i.e. money and business, is a mistake. There's no multi millionaire Pablo Escobar type characters running IS. A cult is a good fit, with a Jim Jones at the helm that worships death, wants everyone and everything to die in pursuit of ego.

The history of ISIS is the history of making a buck. Brutally wiping out locals for looting and pillaging with kidnapping and ransom in the name of some Islamic law to make money has been a trademark since the beginning. It is a cult, a criminal cult.
http://news.usni.org/2014/10/27/isis-funds-terror-black-market-antiquities-trade
 
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  • #405
To run an army requires money, yes, but that is not what they are about. They don't recruit radicals from Europe on promises of villas, yachts and luxury cars.
 
  • #406
mheslep said:
To run an army requires money, yes, but that is not what they are about. They don't recruit radicals from Europe on promises of villas, yachts and luxury cars.

Radicals from Europe have their own rational but the upper operations structure of ISIS has all the underpinnings of a massive criminal conspiracy run by con-men using an imitation of religion for a little extra zest and zeal from the rubes.
 
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  • #407
nsaspook said:
Radicals from Europe have their own rational but the upper operations structure of ISIS has all the underpinnings of a massive criminal conspiracy run by con-men using an imitation of religion for a little extra zest and zeal from the rubes.

ISIS has all of the underpinnings of a drug cartel plus a lot more. Below is a great article about ISIS and crime.

Editor's note: Over the last few weeks the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) has expanded from its stronghold in northern Syria across large swathes of western Iraq. The speed and scale of the advance has caught most observers by surprise, as have reports that put the jihadist group's wealth as high as $2 billion. But just where does ISIS get the mountains of money that make it such a potent force? Click on the flashing icons above to find out.

The article shows six different areas of income for ISIS including:

Drugs, kidnapping, money-laundering
ISIS also makes money through techniques more familiar to mafia organizations than jihadist revolutionaries.
Josh Rogin, senior correspondent at The Daily Beast, told CNN that the group excels at "terrorist fundraising activities (like) kidnapping, robbing and thieving. They're (also) involved in the drug trade. They have money laundering schemes."
In the past week, scores of Turkish and Indian citizens have been abducted as ISIS has swept across large areas of northwestern Iraq.
http://www.cnn.com/2014/06/22/world/meast/mme-isis-money/#index
 
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  • #408
HossamCFD said:
This is sick beyond comprehension.

I can't imagine that the decision to behead a Muslim convert was a popular one among ISIS ranks. Could it be a sign they're running out of hostages?
Well yes, they do only have one American prisoner left, but I would guess that the choice to kill the latest hostage was well favored among the Daesh ranks, considering that Kassig used to be an Army Ranger during the Iraq War. Additionally, we don't know the circumstances of his conversion, and we don't know which ideology he adopted (I bet not the principles of the Islamic State). To the op, I agree. This whole situation is very distressing. It's hard to remember a time when Iraq wasn't a mess . . .
 
  • #409
jollyunclejoe said:
... It's hard to remember a time when Iraq wasn't a mess . . .

Depends on your definition of mess, but 2008 to 2012? A lot of violence, but stable elections, no civil war, and no invading army from Syria.
 
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  • #410
mheslep said:
Depends on your definition of mess, but 2008 to 2012? A lot of violence, but stable elections, no civil war, and no invading army from Syria.
Good point, by 'mess' I was mostly thinking of the violence.
 
  • #411
mheslep said:
Depends on your definition of mess, but 2008 to 2012? A lot of violence, but stable elections, no civil war, and no invading army from Syria.
Well - the civil war was probably turned down to a simmer or low boil.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iraqi_Civil_War - may refer to various recent or historical periods.

It appears that Obama inherited the mess that Bush, Cheney and Rumsfeld created. And the rest is history as they say.
http://www.theguardian.com/world/video/2013/mar/06/james-steele-america-iraq-video
 
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  • #412
Astronuc said:
Well - the civil war was probably turned down to a simmer or low boil.
Civil war doesn't seem to fit the situation at that time. The government was in control of all parts of the country, and the Iraqi homicide rate (per wiki) was 8 per 100K in 2012, less than that of Russia, the Philippines, and Brazil.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_intentional_homicide_rate
 
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  • #413
The funniest comment concerning Iraq that I've read was something like:

After overthrowing Sadam, we [the US] need install there someone who is:
- secular;
- able to keep Iraq in order;
- friendly to the USA.
In other words someone like Sadam from '80s.

mheslep said:
Civil war doesn't seem to fit the situation at that time. The government was in control of all parts of the country, and the Iraqi homicide rate (per wiki) was 8 per 100K in 2012, less than that of Russia, the Philippines, and Brazil.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_intentional_homicide_rate
The Iraq body count index would imply something like 15 per 100 thousand for 2012.
https://www.iraqbodycount.org/database/
(assuming that their data are credible)

Anyway, if one want to defend this invasion, then I see better argument - the invasion was done well enough, according to the database mess started later, when after Americans dissolved the apparatus of repression and remnants of thuggish law and order finally collapsed.

Damn it, maybe you should have sent those troops instead of Iraq to Mexico? If anyway you would have to fight some irregular groups and spend lot's of money on nation building projects. Closer (so soldiers can go on weekend home), success more probable and chance for economy boost for nearby part of the USA. :D
 
  • #414
i
Astronuc said:
Well - the civil war was probably turned down to a simmer or low boil.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iraqi_Civil_War - may refer to various recent or historical periods.

It appears that Obama inherited the mess that Bush, Cheney and Rumsfeld created. And the rest is history as they say.
http://www.theguardian.com/world/video/2013/mar/06/james-steele-america-iraq-video
I believe that by that point the civil war wasn't a full blown civil war any more. I would call it an insurgency if it makes any difference at all. Czcibor, as I recall, Saddam wasn't too friendly with America or the West in general, although he did bring stability to his country (albeit through questionable methods). Also, we didn't necessarily invade Iraq to build the nation, we did it because the government was harboring terrorists.
 
  • #415
jollyunclejoe said:
i

... we did it because the government was harboring terrorists.

What terrorists? Are you suggesting that Saddam had links to Al Qaeda or other islamist terrorist groups?

I thought the main reason for the invasion was the allegations of WMD.
 
  • #416
jollyunclejoe said:
i

I believe that by that point the civil war wasn't a full blown civil war any more. I would call it an insurgency if it makes any difference at all. Czcibor, as I recall, Saddam wasn't too friendly with America or the West in general, although he did bring stability to his country (albeit through questionable methods). Also, we didn't necessarily invade Iraq to build the nation, we did it because the government was harboring terrorists.

I think that waging a war against fiercely anti-American Iran counts as being more or less friendly. (sure, no body is perfect, but it seems a nice favour for the Washington)
 
  • #417
Czcibor said:
Anyway, if one want to defend this invasion,
Not particularly. I would like to describe Iraq as accurately as possible. To say things like another Saddam is needed is to do the opposite.
 
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  • #418
HossamCFD said:
What terrorists? Are you suggesting that Saddam had links to Al Qaeda or other islamist terrorist groups?

I thought the main reason for the invasion was the allegations of WMD.
Al-Qaeda. I wasn't trying to suggest that, I'm sorry, I was unclear. A better way to put it would have been to say that we invaded Iraq because the Bush administration merely believed that Saddam was harboring and supporting terrorists, and had been doing so since the early nineties. I still disagree on the WMDs being the principle reason, because I think that it was the supposed fact that Saddam plotted the 9/11 attacks w. Al-Qaeda that gave us reason to worry about the nukes. I think nukes by themselves wouldn't have resulted in our invading Iraq... I hope that's somewhat clearer. To Czibor, good point, I think I agree with you now. Yes, It certainly was a nice favour for Washington, and a nice one for Iraq as well. They got lots of military aid from us, unfortunately.
 
  • #419
jollyunclejoe said:
Al-Qaeda. I wasn't trying to suggest that, I'm sorry, I was unclear. A better way to put it would have been to say that we invaded Iraq because the Bush administration merely believed that Saddam was harboring and supporting terrorists

Ah. Right. I see what you mean.
 
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  • #420
Hundreds honor Indiana aid worker slain in Syria
http://news.yahoo.com/set-honor-slain-indiana-aid-worker-133418466.html
 
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